Texas Senate winner? (2026)
66%James Talarico
- James Talarico66%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
Install
How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states? (at the November 3, 2026 general election)
The odds
2median
06
Median 2Middle half 2 – 3
How the odds have moved
Median: 2 on Oct 20, 2 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4% | ▲ 2 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 6.1K | |
| 1 | 14% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 2.9K |
| 2 | 40% | ▲ 2 | 40¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 13.4K |
| 3 | 21% | 19¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 7.9K | |
| 4 | 9% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 1.4K |
| 5 | 7% | ▲ 3 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 493 |
| At least 6 | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 277 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Senate and Governor, Harris
Search ›-
Ohio Senate and governor races tighten ahead of midtermsFox News correspondent Alexandria Hoff reports on the closely watched Ohio Senate and governor races ahead of the midterm elections. Ohio Senate and governor races tighten ahead of midterms Fox News correspondent Alexandria Hoff reports on… -
Kamala Harris isn’t going away“Nice to meet you, Madam President,” Kamala Harris said, shaking hands with the Coahoma Community College student body representative on her surprise stop by the campus on Thursday afternoon. Harris likes that disarming joke. She was the… -
Joe Concha slams Kamala Harris as the ‘worst politician’ of his lifetimeFox News contributor Joe Concha argues that politicians have a ‘likability factor’ that Kamala Harris lacks. Joe Concha slams Kamala Harris as the ‘worst politician’ of his lifetime Fox News contributor Joe Concha argues that politicians… -
Kamala Harris rallies voters as early voting hits 27 million nationwideEarly voting is under way in 44 states as more than 27.4 million citizens already cast their ballots nationwide. A new poll reveals 59% of voters identify the cost of living as their top economic concern. Former Vice President Kamala… -
New Hampshire Journal reporter blocked from covering Kamala Harris event speaks outNew Hampshire Journal reporter Leonard Robinson spoke with Fox News Digital about how he was blocked from covering a campaign event featuring former Vice President Kamala Harris. New Hampshire Journal reporter blocked from covering Kamala… -
WATCH LIVE: Kamala Harris hosts a "Women for Crowley" event with David CrowleyHarris speaks in Milwaukee, WI in support of Democrat David Crowley's campaign for governor WATCH LIVE: Kamala Harris hosts a "Women for Crowley" event with David Crowley Harris speaks in Milwaukee, WI in support of Democrat David… -
Do Trump and Harris have climate change plans? See where both candidates standSeptember 10, 2024 / 11:58 AM EDT / CBS News As Election Day 2024 approaches, neither former President Donald Trump nor Vice President Kamala Harris have released their plans to address climate change or energy policy. Their campaign… -
Journalist rips into Kamala Harris’ team as he reveals her campaign’s sketchy tacticsAmid speculation she may run for president a third time, Kamala Harris appears to be keeping a closed-door policy to certain members of the press ahead of the midterm elections. The latest report of blocked media access came Saturday in… -
Kamala Harris says Democrats have ‘been pissed’ for the last year and a halfFox News correspondent CB Cotton reports on former Vice President Kamala Harris’ comments while campaigning for New Hampshire Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Chris Pappas on ‘Fox Report.’ ... Kamala Harris says Democrats have ‘been pissed’… -
The Biden administration made progress on climate change. Experts say Kamala Harris needs to convince climate voters.July 23, 2024 / 3:02 PM EDT / CBS News As Vice President Kamala Harris campaigns for the presidency, she is anticipated to prioritize the Biden administration's climate accomplishments and agenda — which she played a significant role in… - Former Vice President Kamala Harris campaigns with Democrats in New HampshireFormer VP attends campaign event in Portsmouth Former Vice President Kamala Harris attended a campaign event in Portsmouth Saturday to support Democratic candidates for Congress, Senate, and governor. "So for the last year and a half, we…
-
Economic woes transform the Midwest into a massive midterms battlegroundDemocrats could be poised for a revival in the heartland, as furor over high costs and doubt about President Donald Trump’s willingness to change the nation’s trajectory threaten to loosen the GOP’s grip on working-class voters. A decade…
Related markets
All senate ›Texas Senate Election Winner
68%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)68%▲ 4
- Ken Paxton (R)33%▼ 3
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
63%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep63%
- D-House, R-Senate28%▲ 2
- Republicans sweep9%
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
64%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party64%▲ 1
- Republican Party36%
Michigan Senate winner? (2026)
69%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed69%▲ 4
- Mike Rogers32%▼ 4
Maine Senate Election Winner
63%Troy Jackson (D)
- Troy Jackson (D)63%▲ 4
- Susan Collins (R)38%▼ 3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions