Brazil Presidential Election
77%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro77%▼ 6
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva23%▲ 6
Install
Greek general election winner? (2027)
The odds
89%New Democracy
- New Democracy89%▲ 1
- PASOK-KINAL7%
- SYRIZA4%
How the odds have moved
New Democracy: 90% on Oct 20, 89% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Democracy | 89% | ▲ 1 | 88¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 5.2K |
| PASOK-KINAL | 7% | 4¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 219 | |
| SYRIZA | 4% | 0¢ | 8¢ | $12.99 | 1.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Greek, New Democracy
Search ›-
Greece Bans Social Media Use For Children Under 15Sat Oct 24, 2026 October 24, 2026 4:10 AM GMT+1 The Greek parliament has passed a law banning the use of social media by people under the age of 15. Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis’s party, New Democracy, used its majority to pass the… -
New Greece law bans social media for under-15sAthens: Greece's parliament passed a law Friday banning children under 15 from social media, joining a growing number of countries imposing curbs on young people's use of the apps. Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis announced plans for the… -
South Melbourne FC’s historic Australia Cup triumph raised in Greek ParliamentSouth Melbourne FC’s historic Australia Cup victory has reached the floor of the Hellenic Parliament, with Greek MP Dimitris Kairidis raising a club scarf in recognition of the Melbourne side’s achievement. Kairidis, parliamentary… -
Greece passes law banning social media for children under 15Platforms such as Facebook, Instagram and TikTok must check users’ ages through a state app from January 1, 2027. Greece has passed a law banning children under 15 from using social media, with the restrictions set to take effect on… - Greece passes ban on social media for children under 15The Greek parliament on Friday approved legislation banning children under 15 from using major social media platforms including Instagram, Facebook and TikTok, effective Jan. 1, 2027, according to Tovima. The bill preserves access to…
- Protests sweep Greece as teachers, workers and youth join Europe-wide upsurgeStriking teachers, hospital doctors and public sector workers marched alongside tens of thousands of school and university students in more than 50 towns and cities across Greece on Wednesday. The protests are part of an upsurge of the…
-
Greek MEPs Urge Action Over Crop Burning Pollution from TurkeyNew Democracy and European People’s Party (EPP) MEPs Freddy Beleris and Dimitris Tsiodras submitted a joint parliamentary question calling on the Commission to examine the cross-border effects of the burning and seek concrete measures from… -
Greek ambassador: Cultural exchanges connect Greece and ChinaChina Daily Greek ambassador: Cultural exchanges connect Greece and China Greece and China, as two ancient civilizations, have long engaged in exchanges in ideas, art and trade, said Evgenios Kalpyris, Greek ambassador to China, in an… -
Kairidis Takes a South Melbourne Scarf Into Greek ParliamentNew Democracy parliamentary spokesman Dimitris Kairidis took a South Melbourne scarf into the Greek Parliament on Tuesday 20 October to mark the club’s Australia Cup win. Kairidis, the MP for the Athens North constituency, said the South… -
Greece Approves Under-15 Social Media Restrictions From 2027Greece’s parliament has approved restrictions on social media access for children under 15, with the measure scheduled to take effect on January 1, 2027. Platforms covered by the law will be required to implement reliable systems for… -
Greece Passes Teen Social Media BanGreece has followed through on initial plans to impose a social-media ban for kids under 15, with its parliament passing the measure into law, requiring social-media companies to enact age-verification measures starting Jan 1. "It would… -
Türkiye slams Greece for violating Western Thrace minority rightsTürkiye on Saturday accused Greece of undermining the religious freedoms of the Turkish minority in Western Thrace by appointing state-selected muftis in Komotini and Xanthi, renewing a decades-long dispute over the community’s right to…
Related markets
All around the world ›Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
59%Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia59%▼ 10
- Student List – Students Win41%▲ 9
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
- Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
- Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
- Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
- Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
- European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
- SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
50%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%50%▲ 10
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%24%▼ 14
- Lula da Silva <4%19%▲ 6
5 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%4%▼ 2
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+1%▼ 1
- Lula da Silva 4-8%1%
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
71%Yashar
- Yashar71%▲ 2
- Likud28%▼ 3
- Together<1%
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Next French Presidential Election
44%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen44%▼ 2
- Édouard Philippe16%▼ 1
- David Lisnard14%▲ 1
42 more
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%▲ 1
- Raphaël Glucksmann3%▼ 1
- François Hollande2%
- Bruno Retailleau2%
- Éric Zemmour1%
- Gabriel Attal1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Jordan Bardella1%
- Sarah Knafo1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
- Christine Lagarde<1%
- Xavier Bertrand<1%
- Marion Maréchal<1%
- Natacha Polony<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
- François Asselineau<1%
- Jean Castex<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
- Mathilde Panot<1%
- Juan Branco<1%
- Clémence Guetté<1%
- Karim Bouamrane<1%
- Lucie Castets<1%
- Yannick Jadot<1%
- François Baroin<1%
- Anasse Kazib<1%
- Sylvain Durif<1%
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
53%Aleksandar Vučić
- Aleksandar Vučić53%▼ 17
- Ilija Srdanović10%▼ 1
- Ivica Dačić1%▲ 1
7 more
- Vladan Đokić<1%▼ 1
- Stefan Krkobabić<1%
- Ana Brnabić<1%
- Miloš Vučević<1%
- Đuro Macut<1%
- Branimir Jovanović<1%
- Dragan Đilas<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions