Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
30%December 31, 2028
- December 31, 20262%
- June 30, 202710%
- December 31, 202716%▲ 1
1 more
- December 31, 202830%
Install
Next Gemini Pro model release
The odds
9%Before Dec 1, 2026
- Before Nov 1, 20263%
- Before Nov 16, 20267%
- Before Dec 1, 20269%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Nov 1, 2026: 6% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 4.9K | |||
| Before Sep 16, 2026 | 2% | $50.00 | 2.3K | |||
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 24.2K | |||
| Before Oct 16, 2026 | 2% | $50.00 | 47.8K | |||
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 35.2K | |
| Before Nov 16, 2026 | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 9.0K | |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 9% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 18.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Gemini, Google AI, Gemini Pro
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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- October 284%
- October 263%
- October 301%▲ 1
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 24<1%
- October 31<1%
- October 25<1%▼ 1
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
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- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
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- Mistral<1%
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- October 22<1%▼ 14
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- December 3193%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
49%Anthropic
- Anthropic49%▲ 3
- Google40%▼ 2
- OpenAI6%▲ 1
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- Meta1%
- xAI1%
- Alibaba1%
- Moonshot1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
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- Baidu<1%
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1,3801,480
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.