Game Awards: Best Narrative (Best Narrative | 2026)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31 · $64 today · $1.4K traded · $915 at stake · prices read 46 min ago

The odds

58%Grand Theft Auto VI
  • Grand Theft Auto VI58%▼ 2
  • 007 First Light13%▲ 1
  • Schrödinger's Call6%
  • Silent Hill: Townfall5%
  • The Blood of Dawnwalker5%
  • Control Resonant5%
  • Pragmata3%▲ 1
  • Resident Evil Requiem3%
  • Tie2%
  • Trails in the Sky 2nd Chapter2%

How the odds have moved

Grand Theft Auto VI: 57% on Oct 20, 58% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Grand Theft Auto VI 58% ▼ 2 58¢ 59¢ $1.69 1.9K
007 First Light 13% ▲ 1 10¢ 18¢ $5.56
Schrödinger's Call 6% 1¢ 11¢ $9.09 4.0K
Silent Hill: Townfall 5% 3¢ 8¢ $12.50 265
The Blood of Dawnwalker 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 267
Control Resonant 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 188
Pragmata 3% ▲ 1 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 287
Resident Evil Requiem 3% 6¢ $16.67 1.00
Tie 2% 5¢ $20.00 1.00
Trails in the Sky 2nd Chapter 2% 5¢ $20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

The Game Awards: Best Narrative

54%Grand Theft Auto VI
  • Grand Theft Auto VI54%▼ 1
  • The Blood of Dawnwalker11%
  • 007 First Light10%▼ 1
  • Silent Hill: Townfall6%▼ 2
18 more
  • Resident Evil Requiem3%
  • Mixtape3%
  • Schrödinger's Call3%
  • Control Resonant2%
  • Titanium Court1%
  • Marvel's Wolverine1%
  • Phonopolis1%▼ 2
  • Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy1%
  • The Sinking City 21%
  • Mouse: P.I. For Hire1%
  • Onimusha: Way of the Sword1%
  • OPUS: Prism Peak1%
  • Life Is Strange: Reunion1%
  • Fire Emblem: Fortune's Weave1%
  • Esoteric Ebb1%
  • Pragmata1%
  • Wax Heads1%
  • Reanimal<1%
PolymarketCloses Dec 31 · $125 today · $35.6K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Best Narrative Best Narrative, Grand Theft Auto VI, Schrödinger's Call

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Game Awards: Best Mobile Game (Best Mobile Game | 2026)

33%Arknights: Endfield
  • Arknights: Endfield33%▼ 1
  • Monster Hunter Outlanders15%▲ 1
  • Pokémon Champions14%
9 more
  • NTE: Neverness to Everness10%▲ 1
  • Where Winds Meet9%
  • Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Mobile4%
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  • Tie2%
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KalshiCloses Dec 31 · $4 today

The Game Awards: Game of the Year (Game of the Year | 2026)

80%Grand Theft Auto VI
  • Grand Theft Auto VI80%
  • Resident Evil Requiem8%
  • Phantom Blade Zero6%
23 more
  • Crimson Desert3%
  • Control Resonant1%
  • The Duskbloods<1%
  • Fable<1%
  • Marvel's Wolverine<1%
  • Saros<1%
  • Slay the Spire 2<1%
  • Half-Life 3<1%
  • Cairn<1%
  • Onimusha: Way of the Sword<1%
  • Pragmata<1%
  • Marathon<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • Stranger Than Heaven<1%
  • Esoteric Ebb<1%
  • Big Walk<1%
  • The Blood of Dawnwalker<1%
  • Forza Horizon 6<1%
  • 007 First Light<1%
  • Mina the Hollower<1%
  • Gears of War: E-Day<1%
  • Mewgenics<1%
  • Trails in the Sky 2nd Chapter<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $629 today

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

44%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey44%▼ 2
  • You Can See Everything28%▼ 4
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three6%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions