Game Awards: Best Independent Game (Best Independent Game | 2026)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31 · $42 today · $6.9K traded · $4.6K at stake · prices read 53 min ago

The odds

47%Big Walk
  • Big Walk47%
  • Mina the Hollower30%
  • Mewgenics7%▼ 2
  • Mixtape4%
  • Schrödinger’s Call4%
  • Valheim4%
  • Order of the Sinking Star2%
  • Tie2%
  • Slay the Spire 22%
  • Cairn2%▲ 1
  • Esoteric Ebb2%
  • Mouse: P.I. For Hire1%
2 more
  • Replaced<1%
  • Witchbrook<1%

How the odds have moved

Big Walk: 46% on Oct 20, 47% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Big Walk 47% 47¢ 48¢ $2.08 6.9K
Mina the Hollower 30% 30¢ 36¢ $2.78 9.3K
Mewgenics 7% ▼ 2 7¢ 9¢ $11.11 3.3K
Mixtape 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 1.00
Schrödinger’s Call 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 126
Valheim 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 1.00
Order of the Sinking Star 2% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 3.2K
Tie 2% 5¢ $20.00 2.2K
Slay the Spire 2 2% 5¢ $20.00
Cairn 2% ▲ 1 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 1.8K
Esoteric Ebb 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 1.7K
Mouse: P.I. For Hire 1% 2¢ $50.00 1.5K
Replaced <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.1K
Witchbrook <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Best Independent Game Best Independent, Big Walk

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  • Arknights: Endfield33%▲ 2
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KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $371 today

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

88%Anne Hathaway
  • Anne Hathaway88%
  • Penélope Cruz77%
  • Samantha Morton76%▲ 4
15 more
  • Tao Okamoto62%▼ 5
  • Amanda Seyfried45%▼ 15
  • Kate O'Flynn42%▲ 1
  • Olivia Colman32%▲ 7
  • Mariana di Girolamo29%▼ 3
  • Sandra Hüller24%▼ 6
  • Parker Posey21%
  • Merritt Wever18%▲ 5
  • Gemma Chan10%▲ 2
  • Zendaya9%▲ 2
  • Danielle Deadwyler8%▲ 3
  • Betty Gilpin6%▲ 1
  • Isabella Rossellini5%▼ 1
  • Margaret Qualley4%▼ 1
  • Inde Navarrette1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.