Gambian parliamentary election winner? (2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Apr 10, 2028 · prices read 6 h ago

The odds

57%NPP

NPP57%▼ 1
UDP25%▼ 1
UNITE11%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

NPP: 58% on Oct 19, 57% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays
NPP	57%	▼ 1	54¢	61¢	$1.64
UDP	25%	▼ 1	21¢	28¢	$3.57
UNITE	11%	▼ 1	7¢	14¢	$7.14

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Gambian

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Gambia to pay victims of Yahya Jammeh's rule from proceeds of his seized US mansionBBC News · 5 days agoJammeh, who is now living in exile in Equatorial Guinea, ruled The Gambia for more than 20 years The Gambia will use funds received from the US from the forfeiture of long-time ruler Yahya Jammeh's property to pay victims of his rule…
The Gambia to pay victims of ex-ruler Yahya Jammeh with proceeds from seized US mansionBusiness · 4 days agoBy: Nana Karikari, Senior Global Affairs Correspondent The Gambia will compensate victims of former ruler Yahya Jammeh’s regime using funds recovered from the asset forfeiture and sale of his luxury property in the United States. Gambian…
Funds from sale of former Gambian ruler's US property to be used to compensate victimsThe Washington Post · 6 days agoThe Washington Post Gambian authorities have received funds from the sale of a U.S. property owned by former ruler Yahya Jammeh SERREKUNDA, Gambia — Gambian authorities said Tuesday that they had received funds recovered from the…
Gambia to pay Jammeh's victims $2.5m from US mansion saleStreamline · 5 days agoThe Gambia says $2.5 million recovered from the US sale of Yahya Jammeh's Potomac mansion will fund reparations for victims of his 22-year rule. The Gambia will use $2.5 million recovered from the United States sale of a mansion owned by…
The Gambia will use sale of former ruler's Maryland mansion to compensate his victimsWJLA · 5 days agoby ABDOULIE JOHN Associated Press The Gambia Reparations Commission said it received $2,573,414.10 from the sale of a mansion in Potomac, Maryland, owned by the former ruler of the tiny West African nation. The U.S. Department of State had…
Gambia To Pay Jammeh’s Victims $2.57m Recovered From US MansionTrending News · 5 days agoWed Oct 21, 2026 October 21, 2026 3:52 PM GMT+1 The Gambia will use $2.57 million recovered from the sale of a mansion owned by former President Yahya Jammeh in the United States to compensate victims of human rights abuses during his…
Gambia moves to strengthen protection for musicians against online piracyThe Point Newspaper · 5 days agoThe Gambia is moving to strengthen the protection of musicians and record producers against online piracy, with the National Assembly considering the ratification of an international treaty aimed at safeguarding their rights and earnings…
Gambia recovers $2.5m from Jammeh’s US mansion to fund reparationsChannel Africa · 5 days agoChannel Africa Gambia recovers $2.5m from Jammeh’s US mansion to fund reparations The Gambian government has received $2.5 million following the forfeiture and sale of a luxury estate in the United States (US) previously owned by former…
Gambia RepatriationWV News · 6 days agoWV News FILE - Gambia's President Yahya Jammeh arrives for a summit to address a seminar on security in Abuja, Nigeria, on Feb. 27, 2014. Funds from sale of former Gambian ruler's US property to be used to compensate victims There was a…
Gambia Receives $2.5 Million for Victim ReparationsIJR News · 5 days agoThe Gambia received about $2.57 million from the U.S. forfeiture and sale of former ruler Yahya Jammeh’s Maryland mansion, and the money is restricted to reparations for victims of abuses during his rule. The Reparations Commission pledged…
Gambia to use $2.5 mn from US to compensate ex-dictator's victimsCitizen Digital · 5 days agoJammeh's two decades in power from 1994 to 2017 were stained by rights abuses, and the eccentric ex-leader is accused of syphoning millions of dollars in state funds for his personal use. The US Justice Department had announced in…
EU readies for Gambian poll contest@cajnewsafrica · 5 days agoFormer Gambia deputy president, Ousainou Darboe from EMEKA OKONKWO in Abuja, Nigeria Nigeria Bureau ABUJA, (CAJ News) – THE European Union (EU) is to deploy an Election Observation Mission (EU EOM) to The Gambia ahead of the December 5…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onIndependent Electoral Commission of The Gambia

Trading closesApr 10, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$0 (0 contracts)

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If NPP wins the 2027 Gambian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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