Georgia Agriculture Commissioner winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $494 traded · $320 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

77%Tyler Harper

Tyler Harper77%▼ 1
Katherine E. Juhan-Arnold22%

How the odds have moved

Tyler Harper: 72% on Oct 19, 77% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Tyler Harper	77%	▼ 1	72¢	81¢	$1.23	590
Katherine E. Juhan-Arnold	22%		18¢	25¢	$4.00	200

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Georgia Agriculture Commissioner, Tyler Harper, Katherine E. Juhan-Arnold

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Meg Weinberger heads to Election Day with commanding edges over 2 challengers in HD 94@Fla_Pol · 5 h agoA teacher and a hotel executive are trying to make Republican state Rep. Meg Weinberger’s first House term her last, but she holds ample advantages that make supplanting her a tall order. Weinberger, a nonprofit executive, faces challenges…
2026 Georgia midterm elections: Candidates in 4 statewide racesFOX 5 Atlanta · 5 h agoATLANTA - Georgia voters will choose leaders for four statewide offices overseeing public schools, labor services, insurance and fire safety, and agriculture. The contests pair Democratic challengers Lydia Powell, Nikki Porcher, Keisha…
Midterms in 30: Important Georgia Elections, Part ThreeThe George-Anne Media Group · 5 days agoAs the 2026 midterm elections get closer, familiarize yourself with the key races in Georgia before you head to the polls to vote. Today, we’ll discuss the following races: Attorney General, Commissioner of Agriculture, Commissioner of…
New THC caps threaten 225,800 jobs nationwide, up to $1B in Georgia salesFOX 5 Atlanta · 7 days agoATLANTA - Thousands of Georgia store owners, warehouse employees and farmers face an immediate threat to their livelihoods as a strict federal restriction takes effect Dec. 11. The statutory shift reclassifies nearly all over-the-counter…
‘What’s at stake in this election’: Gov. Kemp, state leaders rally farmers in Moultrie@walbnews10 · 6 days agoMOULTRIE, Ga. (WALB) — Georgia’s candidates for governor are pitching farmers on how they will protect the state’s top industry, while the state’s top Republican leaders met with farm leaders in Moultrie to discuss the future of…
Georgia Agriculture Commissioner: Tyler Harper, Katherine Juhan-ArnoldThe Current · 10 days agoThe commissioner leads the state Department of Agriculture, which regulates animals, plants, soil and more. The commissioner leads the state Department of Agriculture, which regulates animals, plants, soil and more. Tyler Harper is the…
Incumbent agriculture commissioner faces Democratic challengerCourier Herald Today · 10 days agoThe Georgia agriculture commissioner seat is up for election on the Nov. 3 ballot. The incumbent, Tyler J. Harper (R), is running against Katherine Juhan-Arnold (D). The position is a four-year executive role in the Georgia Department of…
Commissioner Tyler J. Harper Announces Details for Hurricane Helene Recovery GrantsDome Politics · 10 days agoGeorgia Agriculture Commissioner Tyler J. Harper recently announced that the Georgia Hurricane Helene Block Grant has calculated award amounts for all traditional agricultural commodities and will begin sending funding agreements to…
Georgia ag debate turns personal after challenger questions inspection dropFOX 5 Atlanta · 11 days agoATLANTA - Georgia Agriculture Commissioner Tyler Harper and Democratic challenger Catherine Juhan-Arnold traded sharp accusations over plunging food inspection numbers and rural land preservation during a televised debate Thursday…
Agriculture Commissioner Tyler Harper Releases Statement on Gas Tax Extension and Diesel ReliefLanier County News · 14 days agoGeorgia Agriculture Commissioner Tyler J Harper released the following statement on Governor Brian Kempâs extension of the state gas tax suspension through November 5 and waiver of state penalties for the highway use of dyed diesel…
Oct. 13 – Candidates for Georgia Attorney General face off in debate; Strickland slings mudSavannah Business Journal · 13 days agoOctober 13, 2026- In the first general election debate for Georgia Attorney General, Brian Strickland (R) states that he believes he delivered a decisive victory against what he calls the “New York lawyer” Tanya Miller (D) by proving to…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onGeorgia Secretary of State

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$494 (790 contracts)

This week$303

At stake$320

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Katherine E. Juhan-Arnold wins the 2026 Georgia Agriculture Commissioner election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions