Which G7 leader will leave office next? (G7 Leaders)

Kalshi Politics › World leaders Closes Jan 1, 2045 · $105 today · $4.6K traded · $2.6K at stake · prices read 61 min ago

The odds

66%Emmanuel Macron
  • Emmanuel Macron66%▼ 1
  • Giorgia Meloni14%▲ 7
  • Friedrich Merz14%▼ 1
  • Andy Burnham2%▼ 1
  • Mark Carney2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Sanae Takaichi2%

How the odds have moved

Emmanuel Macron: 70% on Oct 20, 66% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Emmanuel Macron 66% ▼ 1 66¢ 73¢ $1.37 3.5K
Giorgia Meloni 14% ▲ 7 11¢ 19¢ $5.26 2.6K
Friedrich Merz 14% ▼ 1 12¢ 18¢ $5.56 9.9K
Andy Burnham 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 1.6K
Mark Carney 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 1.3K
Donald Trump 2% 4¢ $25.00 8.8K
Sanae Takaichi 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 1.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: G7 Leaders, Emmanuel Macron, Giorgia Meloni

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions