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Visitors to Florida in 2026
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 141.4 on Oct 20, 141.4 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 136 million | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 39.5K | |
| Above 138 million | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 34.7K | |
| Above 140 million | 80% | 79¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 34.0K | |
| Above 142 million | 38% | 37¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 36.8K | |
| Above 144 million | 14% | 14¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 23.9K | |
| Above 146 million | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 19.2K | |
| Above 148 million | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 27.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Florida
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Florida GOP drops lawsuit seeking to block Hope Florida scandal ad from TVWBZ This Morning 6am CBS News Chicago 5am CBS News Detroit 6am CBS News Miami 6am CBS News Philadelphia 6am KDKA-TV Morning News 6am CBS News Texas 5am -
Florida’s gubernatorial candidates stumping for support in South FloridaCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Florida’s gubernatorial… -
Erik Karlsson with a Hit vs. Florida PanthersYahoo Sports Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 141-game 20-point streak snapped Erik Karlsson (Pittsburgh Penguins) with a Hit vs. Florida Panthers, 10/22/2026 -
Florida GOP drops lawsuit against Democrats, TV stations stopping ad citing Hope Florida grand jury reportUpdated on: October 21, 2026 / 5:26 PM EDT / CBS Miami The Republican Party of Florida (RPOF) has voluntarily dismissed its lawsuit against the Florida Democratic Party, several Democratic figures, and major news broadcasting organizations… -
Florida’s gubernatorial candidates hit the campaign trail in South Florida as midterm election nearsCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Florida’s gubernatorial… -
Former Florida QB Kyle Trask signs with Dallas CowboysFormer Florida quarterback Kyle Trask is getting another NFL opportunity, this time back in his home state. ESPN's Todd Archer saidThe Dallas Cowboys signed Trask to their practice squad Tuesday, according to ESPN's Todd Archer. Dallas… -
DeSantis ally representing OpenAI as Florida takes on tech giantThe company’s selection of a high-powered attorney who is also well-connected within the state judiciary could be an indication of how seriously OpenAI views the threat posed by Florida’s case and other potential state-level lawsuits. A… -
Seminoles Roundup: Florida State WBB Host One More ExhibitionThe Florida State women's basketball team host Palm Beach Atlantic on Thursday to round out the exhibition slate before the start of the regular season. The Seminoles defeated the University of Tampa 72-44 in an exhibition on Sunday. 10… -
Film Room: How Florida Kept Texas' Defense Off BalanceMany things went wrong for the Longhorns on Saturday, however their defensive struggles were particularly noticeable. Defensive coordinator Will Muschamp's unit surrendered 313 yards, the second-most they have all season, and in general… -
Florida issues Raul Castro arrest warrant over 1996 shoot downFormer Cuban dictator Raul Castro faces an arrest warrant from Florida over the 1996 shoot down of civilian planes. Congressman Carlos Jimenez tells Stuart Varney that state and federal authorities are pursuing justice for the murder of… -
South Florida sees showers ahead of weekend with flooding threatSpotty showers will continue across South Florida on Thursday before worsening conditions bring heavy rain, wind gusts of 35 mph or higher and the potential for significant coastal and flash flooding Sunday through Tuesday. South Florida…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.