Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$283,750median
$175,000$375,000
Median $283,750Middle half $262,500 – $305,729
Install
Vermont total milk production in 2026
The odds
2.52median
2.352.65
Median 2.52Middle half 2.49 – 2.54
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.51 on Oct 20, 2.52 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.40 billion pounds | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 5.0K | |
| Above 2.45 billion pounds | 97% | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 13.7K | |
| Above 2.50 billion pounds | 72% | 71¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 2.3K | |
| Above 2.55 billion pounds | 12% | 11¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 8.4K | |
| Above 2.60 billion pounds | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 8.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Vermont
Search ›-
Vermont downs Stonehill in exhibitionThe UVM men’s basketball team downed Stonehill 77-61 on Saturday for their second exhibition win. Gus Yalden led. Momo Nkugwa returned for Vermont after missing the initial exhibition game, and scored ... BURLINGTON, Vt. (WCAX) - The UVM… -
Southern Vermont and New HampshirePolice said firefighting efforts were hampered due to local conditions. Brazilians head to the polls on Sunday facing a stark choice: another four years under veteran leftist Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, or a return to the right under… -
Vermont works on catalog of ready-to-build home designsSOUTH BURLINGTON, Vt. (WCAX) - Vermont’s Agency of Housing and Community Development is working to develop ready-to-build home designs in an effort to increase home building across the state. In the early 1900s, Sears sold homes straight… -
Vermont State Police Cite Pownal Resident Accused Of AssaultCaledonian Record -
Vermont gubernatorial candidates react to proposed changes to FEMAThe Trump administration is proposing changes to how the government aids disasters, Vermont's candidates for governor shared their thoughts. KYIV, Oct 24 (Reuters) - Ukraine said on Saturday that the Starlink satellite system and its… -
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Vanishing Vermont: An advocate for farmers keeping the landBURLINGTON, Vt. (WCAX) - A nonprofit that supports farmers across New England is helping Vermont farmers navigate land access, tenure and transfer. Mike Ghia is a field agent for Land for Good, a nonprofit with ideas about how the state… -
Vermont 'I voted' sticker contest winners announcedWCAX Vermont 'I voted' sticker contest winners announced Swanton police search for car, driver after hit-and-run lands elderly pedestrian in hospital Clinton County opens 1976 time capsules, seals new one for 2076 Cybersecurity summit at… -
Scientists: Vermont getting warmer and wetterThe study of Vermont's climate shows that the state's average temperature is up by 3.6 degrees and precipitation up by 20 percent, with winter seeing more rain and mild days. By Erin Banco and Joey Roulette WASHINGTON, Oct 23 (Reuters)… -
What’s behind the Vermont Catholic Church’s ever-evolving bankruptcy case — and what’s nextLeaders of the Vermont Roman Catholic Diocese said filing for Chapter 11 financial protection in the fall of 2024 promised the church stability amid a rising number of payouts to resolve priest misconduct lawsuits. So why, two years later… -
Related markets
All jobs ›US retail jobs added this holiday season (September–December 2026)
563,415median
250,000650,000
Median 563,415
Unemployment in October (Oct 2026)
4.15%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.15%Middle half 4.08% – 4.23%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
15%U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k15%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k10%▲ 7
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above6%
8 more
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k1%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%▼ 21
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above1%▼ 4
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
10%5.0%
4.5%13%
UK retail sales in October (October 2026)
50%Above 2.0%
-2%3%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions