Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$283,750median
$175,000$375,000
Median $283,750Middle half $262,500 – $305,729
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Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
The odds
84,333median
79,00093,000
Median 84,333Middle half 83,635 – 84,871
How the odds have moved
Median: 84,489 on Oct 20, 84,333 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 80,000 jobs | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 896 | |
| Above 81,000 jobs | 97% | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 35.5K | |
| Above 82,000 jobs | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 78.7K | |
| Above 83,000 jobs | 92% | 91¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 80.4K | |
| Above 84,000 jobs | 66% | 65¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 66.6K | |
| Above 85,000 jobs | 19% | 18¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 59.3K | |
| Above 86,000 jobs | 9% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 75.6K | |
| Above 87,000 jobs | 8% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 92.4K | |
| Above 88,000 jobs | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 14.3K | |
| Above 89,000 jobs | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 54.1K | |
| Above 90,000 jobs | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 70.6K | |
| Above 91,000 jobs | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 10.3K | |
| Above 92,000 jobs | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 281 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Washington
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Get unlimited access toThe Washington PostBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. - Opinion Fareed… -
For Turnstile, Washington Monument show was a moment, and a homecomingThe Washington Post Organizers estimated that the show on the National Mall drew around 60,000 people. About 24 hours before he stepped onto the open-air stage to a screaming sea of punks, under one of the nation’s most post-carded… -
Fall-O-Ween family outing held in Washington ParkCBS News Bay Area Evening Edition Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6pm CBS News New York CBS News Philadelphia 7:30pm KDKA News at 7 CBS13 News Weekend 5pm CBS News Texas Saturday 5pm -
Dylan Riley, Boise State pull away late to beat Washington StateRiley scored on runs of 33 and 72 yards for the Broncos (6-1, 3-0 Pac-12), who have won six straight after a season-opening loss on the road to Oregon. Boise State became bowl eligible and pulled even with Oregon State for first in the… -
GAME THREAD: Washington State welcomes No. 21 Boise State for HomecomingYahoo Sports - GAME THREAD: Washington State welcomes No. 21 Boise State for Homecoming Boise State's biggest defensive weakness could be exposed by Washington State's new quarterback How to watch Washington State vs. No. 21 Boise State… -
Boise State gets three wide receivers back for Washington State gameBoise State was down three of its top wide receivers and seven players overall during its 38-31 road win over rival Fresno State on Oct. 10. Following a much-needed bye week, the 21st-ranked Broncos (5-1, 2-0 Pac-12) are significantly… -
Closing point spread, betting odds for No. 21 Boise State vs. Washington StateBettors are backing No. 21 Boise State in the lead-up to Saturday’s 4 p.m. Mountain time Pac-12 matchup between the Broncos (5-1, 2-0) and Washington State (1-6, 0-3) at Martin Stadium. DraftKings Sportsbook opened the Broncos as a… - Washington Wizards vs. Chicago Bulls Live Score and Stats - October 24, 2026 GametrackerKyshawn George had 22 points and nine rebounds for Washington in the opener of a three-game trip. Anthony Davis added 19 points, and Justin Champagnie had 11 points and 14 rebounds. The Wizards played without AJ Dybantsa, the No. 1 pick in…
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Cuba spent decades recruiting American spies. Now Washington is turning the tables on HavanaPresident Donald Trump speaks in Fort Myers, Florida, about taking care of Cuba as Secretary of State Marco Rubio urges Cuban dissidents to partner with the CIA. Cuba’s government has spent decades recruiting Americans to betray their… -
Where Does Mike Sainristil Fit in the Washington Commanders Defense Now?Mike Sainristil played seven snaps against the 49ers. His coverage struggles and Trey Amos’ return complicate his role in Washington’s defense after the bye. - Washington Capitals vs. Buffalo Sabres (Final: WSH 4-3 BUF)Buffalo Sabres 2 - Washington Capitals 2: 2nd 3:16 Yahoo Sports Alex Tuch gets winner against former team and Dylan Strome scores twice, as Capitals beat Sabres 4-3 Alex Tuch Breaks Silence on Leaving Sabres for Capitals
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Washington Huskies Men's Basketball Team in Good Position to Address Major Issue From Last YearSEATTLE — The Washington Huskies men's basketball team finished 12th in the 18-team Big Ten conference last season, in large part due to struggles on offense. Among the Huskies offensive troubles lied on their efficiency from 3-point…
Related markets
All jobs ›US retail jobs added this holiday season (September–December 2026)
476,923median
250,000650,000
Median 476,923
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5%5.0%
4.5%13%
Unemployment in October (Oct 2026)
4.15%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.15%Middle half 4.08% – 4.23%
UK retail sales in October (October 2026)
50%Above 2.0%
-2%3%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
15%U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k15%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k10%▲ 7
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above6%
8 more
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k5%▲ 2
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k5%▲ 2
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above5%▲ 2
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k1%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%▼ 21
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above1%▼ 4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions