Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
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Florida Governor-Senate combo (Before Nov 2026)
The odds
77%Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win
- Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win77%
- David Jolly and Ashley Moody win11%▼ 2
- David Jolly and Angie Nixon win8%▼ 1
- Byron Donalds and Angie Nixon win4%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win: 80% on Oct 20, 77% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win | 77% | 75¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 6.4K | |
| David Jolly and Ashley Moody win | 11% | ▼ 2 | 11¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 1.1K |
| David Jolly and Angie Nixon win | 8% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 2.6K |
| Byron Donalds and Angie Nixon win | 4% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 854 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Florida Governor-Senate
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UNF poll shows tight Florida governor, Senate racesJACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Republican Byron Donalds leads Democrat David Jolly by 2 percentage points in Florida’s governor’s race, while Republican U.S. Sen. Ashley Moody leads Democrat Angie Nixon by 4 points, according to a new University of… -
Duval voters report touch screen issues with ExpressVote machines during early votingAction News Jax Action News Jax Now Action News Jax Weather 24/7 Action Sports Jax 24/7 Action News Jax 24/7 News Fire destroys Golf Carts of St. Augustine building on U.S. 1; no one hurt, officials say Nassau County Cub Scout leader…
Related markets
All senate ›Texas Senate Election Winner
65%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)65%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton (R)36%▼ 1
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
64%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party64%▲ 1
- Republican Party37%
South Carolina Senate winner? (2026)
77%Darline Graham
- Darline Graham77%▼ 3
- Annie Andrews24%▲ 3
Michigan Senate winner? (2026)
65%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed65%▼ 4
- Mike Rogers35%▲ 2
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
63%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep63%
- D-House, R-Senate26%▲ 1
- Republicans sweep10%
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions