When will FISA be reauthorized again? (legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority)

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Apr 1, 2027 · $11.2K traded · $5.7K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

46%Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 202619%▼ 1
Before Jan 1, 202744%▲ 1
Before Apr 1, 202746%

How the odds have moved

Before Dec 1, 2026: 20% on Oct 20, 19% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Before Aug 15, 2026	1%				$100.00	36.5K
Before Sep 1, 2026	1%				$100.00	41.1K
Before Oct 1, 2026	1%				$100.00	63.2K
Before Dec 1, 2026	19%	▼ 1	16¢	22¢	$4.55
Before Jan 1, 2027	44%	▲ 1	41¢	46¢	$2.17	22.4K
Before Apr 1, 2027	46%		44¢	48¢	$2.08	40.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: FISA Section, FISA

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onLibrary of Congress

Trading closesApr 1, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$11.2K (163,248 contracts)

This week$11.2K

At stake$5.7K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority has become law after Issuance and before Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.