US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report (Oct 28, 2026)
6%median
-12%12%
Median 6%
Install
Edmonton home price below C$440K in 2026?
The odds
33%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 26% on Oct 20, 33% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 24, 10 PM ET25% → 32%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33% | ▲ 1 | 31¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 6.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Edmonton
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Oilers Goalie Devon Levi's Concerning Injury Update Emerges After Edmonton's Strong StartThe Edmonton Oilers have received a concerning injury update on goaltender Devon Levi ahead of their matchup against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Levi has been placed on injured reserve and is expected to miss several weeks, according to… -
Hurricanes' Brandon Bussi: Drawing start against EdmontonCBS Sports Bussi will start Thursday's road game against the Oilers, Jason Gregor of Sports 1440 Edmonton reports. Bussi has seen limited playing time over the past week and a half, but he'll be in the net Thursday for the second time in… -
Instant Reaction: Leafs continue dominance in Edmonton with 7-2 winOilers Nation For just the second time this season, the Edmonton Oilers have lost a game in regulation On Saturday evening, the Oilers were haunted by ghosts of their past, falling 7-2 to the Toronto Maple Leafs for just their second… -
Attempted copper theft leaves some Edmonton neighbourhoods with service interruptionsCentral and west Edmonton residents may be experiencing internet, TV and home phone interruptions due to fibre being cut in what the service provider says was attempted copper theft. Central and west Edmonton residents may be experiencing… -
Edmonton mayor calls for better support after annual unhoused countPosted October 24, 2026 3:20 pm. Mayor Andrew Knack is urging for better housing and social resources from the Alberta government after Homeward Trust wrapped up its annual homeless Point-in-Time survey Thursday. Around 200 volunteers… -
Oilers’ Mike Babcock admits Maple Leafs exposed Edmonton’s biggest problemEdmonton Oilers head coach Mike Babcock admitted his team’s lack of depth and competitiveness were exposed during Saturday’s 7-2 loss to the Toronto Maple Leafs. The defeat ended Edmonton’s three-game winning streak and raised fresh… -
NHL Predictions: Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs, October 24thTime: 7:00 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time (EDT) The Boston Bruins took the first game of the season series in San Jose with a dominant 6-3 victory 11 days ago. The Sharks have gone 3-1-1 in the five games since, with the Bruins going 3-0-1 in… -
$3.6M Edmonton home comes with a private sauna and ravine viewsThere’s a magazine-worthy home for sale in Edmonton that comes with its own sauna, home theatre, and unreal views of MacKinnon Ravine. This home, located at 14530 Ravine Dr. NW, has five bedrooms, five bathrooms, and 3,353 square feet of… -
Energized Leafs continue their hot roll with impressive 7-2 win in EdmontonEDMONTON - Picking the Toronto Maple Leafs to win in Edmonton has become a safe bet in recent years. William Nylander had two goals, including the 300th of his career, as the surging Maple Leafs scorched the Edmonton Oilers 7-2 on… -
‘It adds to the pile’: Edmonton pub owner deals with break-insPosted October 23, 2026 4:31 pm. Just south of downtown Edmonton, the door Frank’s Community Pub was boarded up after a break on Thursday morning. The owner says such break ins cause more losses to small businesses. It is not what Sean… -
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton Oilers – Game #13 Projected Lines, Preview & TV InfoFive of the top eight point scorers in the league will feature in this matchup tonight: Doesn’t get much better than this for game #13 of the regular season. We’ll see if Jim Hiller forges ahead with his forward lines from Friday’s… -
Councillor Anne Stevenson resigns from Edmonton Police CommissionPosted October 23, 2026 10:55 am. Councillor Anne Stevenson has reportedly resigned from the Edmonton Police Commission. The police commission issued a statement on Friday saying the councillor’s resignation was effective as of Oct. 21…
Related markets
All housing ›Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
60%↑ 7.50%
- Reaches 7.5%60%
- Falls to 6.5%23%
- Falls to 6.25%17%
Already reached: ↑ 7.25%, ↑ 7.00%, ↑ 6.75%, ↑ 6.50%, ↑ 6.30%, ↑ 6.20%
US new home sales for September (September 2026)
646,667median
580,000760,000
Median 646,667Middle half 624,906 – 678,750
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
705,678median
670,000750,000
Median 705,678Middle half 701,441 – 709,915
US building permits for October (October 2026)
1.38median
1.201.65
Median 1.38Middle half 1.33 – 1.43
Will Illinois home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
90%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions