Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.3median
140230
Median 189.3Middle half 177.0 – 200.9
Install
Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines? (Before Jan 2027)
The odds
39%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202739%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 36% on Oct 20, 39% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 23, 9 PM ETBefore Jan 1, 2027: 80% → 54%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 10.2K | |||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 39% | ▼ 1 | 35¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 6.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Sara Duterte, Vice President, Philippines
Search ›-
Governor Shapiro calls Vice President Vance 'pathetically weak' for defending Vivek Ramaswamy's ad of Amy Acton's mother.Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro criticizes Vice President Vance and Vivek Ramaswamy, the Republican candidate for governor of Ohio, for doubling down on an ad featuring his opponent's estranged mother. Governor Shapiro calls Vice… -
Formal Offer Of Evidence Versus VP Sara Duterte Submitted EarlyThe formal offer followed the prosecution’s decision to rest its case on Article II, covering Vice President Sara Duterte’s unexplained wealth as reflected in her bank records and statements of assets, liabilities and net worth… -
The Impending Impeachment Conviction of Philippine Vice President Sara DuterteFour months into her impeachment trial in the Senate, the political winds are starting to turn against Duterte. The Philippine Senate holds a hearing in the ongoing impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, Oct. 13, 2026. Recent… -
Vice President JD Vance leads Nebraska crowd in prayer after medical emergencyFox News Vice President JD Vance leads Nebraska crowd in prayer after medical emergency Vice President JD Vance led the audience in prayer and then left the stage and walked over to check on the woman needing medical attention. -
Ombudsman to review House evidence on Sara Duterte impeachment chargesOmbudsman Jesus Crispin Remulla said his office will review evidence that the House prosecution panel may turn over following the withdrawal of three articles of impeachment against Vice President Sara Duterte. Lead prosecutor Batangas 2nd… -
Video shows ‘humiliating’ scene as NFL players ignore Vice President JD VanceVice President JD Vance, an Ohio native and a longtime Cincinnati Bengals fan, paid a surprise visit to the team's practice on Wednesday. But it doesn't look like the players were especially excited to see him. In a video that has since… -
Joe Burrow Says Vice President JD Vance’s Visit to Bengals Practice Ended With ‘Swiftness and Efficiency’Vice President JD Vance visited his favorite NFL team, the Cincinnati Bengals, on Wednesday, October 21. The politician, who was born and raised in Middletown, Ohio, arrived at the team's Kettering Health practice fields with six black… -
Vice President Radhakrishnan to visit Andhra Pradesh on October 26-27Vice President Radhakrishnan to visit Andhra Pradesh on October 26-27 Got Question about the News? New Delhi, Oct 25 (PTI) The Vice President of India, C P Radhakrishnan, will visit Andhra Pradesh for two days beginning Monday, where he… -
Riepenhoff Named Group Vice President, Fresh Divisions at WakefernWakefern Food Corp. has appointed Travis Riepenhoff as group vice president (GVP), Fresh. He succeeds Mark Van Buskirk, who now leads Wakefern’s Center Store divisions as group vice president. As GVP for Fresh divisions, Riepenhoff will… -
CleverTap Appoints Lohran Queiroz as Vice President for Latin AmericaSão Paulo, Brazil, September 24th, 2026, FinanceWire Seasoned technology leader to drive CleverTap's next phase of regional growth, customer expansion, and CleverAI(TM) adoption across Latin America. CleverTap, the all-in-one customer… -
Suzy Nelson named vice president for student lifeSuzy M. Nelson, an academic leader with broad experience managing student affairs and residential life at Colgate University, Harvard University, Cornell University, and Syracuse University, has been named as MIT’s new vice president for… -
Vice-President To Visit Tirupati, Tirumala On October 26, 27NELLORE: Tirupati district authorities are making security and logistical arrangements for Vice-President C.P. Radhakrishnan’s visit to Tirupati and Tirumala on October 26 and 27. District collector Dr S. Venkateswar and SP L. Subbarayudu…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions