How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Feb 1, 2027)
51.9median
44.552.5
Median 51.9Middle half 50.0 – 51.8
Install
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)
The odds
51.3median
44.556.5
Median 51.3Middle half 47.8 – 54.1
How the odds have moved
Median: 51.2 on Oct 20, 51.3 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 45 | 8% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 1.5K | |
| 45 | 4% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 1.1K | |
| 46 | 5% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 30.00 | |
| 47 | 6% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 30.00 | |
| 48 | 7% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.8K | |
| 49 | 7% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 6.2K | |
| 50 | 7% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 7.5K | |
| 51 | 9% | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 6.6K | |
| 52 | 9% | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 9.2K | |
| 53 | 10% | 11¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 8.9K | |
| 54 | 7% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 7.9K | |
| 55 | 6% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 5.6K | |
| 56 | 6% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.3K | |
| Above 56 | 10% | 11¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 2.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Democratic Senate Seat Count
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.