Brazil Presidential Election
98%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva98%▲ 82
- Flávio Bolsonaro2%▼ 82
Install
Brazil Federal District Governor winner? (2026)
The odds
100%Celina Leão
- Celina Leão100%▲ 2
- Leandro Grass1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Celina Leão: 99% on Oct 20, 100% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celina Leão | 100% | ▲ 2 | 99¢ | 2.3K | ||
| Arruda | 6% | $16.67 | 207 | |||
| Leandro Grass | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 670 | |
| Cappelli | — | |||||
| Elisson | — | |||||
| Expedito Mendonça | — | |||||
| Kiko Caputo | — | |||||
| Paula Belmonte | — | |||||
| Professor Robson | — | |||||
| Professora Samara Mineiro | — | |||||
| Rico Pinheiro | — |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Brazil Federal District Governor, Celina Leão, Leandro Grass
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Brazil Holds Six Governor Runoffs 25 OctoberBRAZIL · ELECTIONS 2026 · GOVERNOR RUNOFFS Rio de Janeiro will not vote again, because its electoral court confirmed Douglas Ruas of the conservative Liberal Party (PL) as the outright winner on 10 October. Governors run state police…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions