Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
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Will Susan Collins outperform the polls?
The odds
64%chance▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Yes: 64% on Oct 20, 64% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64% | ▼ 2 | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 1.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Susan Collins, Maine
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Maine Republicans face a defining test as Susan Collins fights to keep her Senate seatSen. Susan Collins faces a challenge from Democrat Troy Jackson in Maine as Republicans debate the future of centrism and the GOP's place in New England. Maine Republicans face a defining test as Susan Collins fights to keep her Senate… -
Susan Collins Touts Canada Tariff Exemptions in Tight Maine Senate RaceOct 23, 2026 at 03:21 PM EDT Republican Senator Susan Collins announced Friday that U.S. tariffs will exempt nine categories of Canadian imports used by Maine agricultural businesses after she pressed the Trump administration for relief… -
Embattled Susan Collins announces exemptions for Maine from Trump Canada tariffsRepublican facing tough re-election battle in state where Trump’s trade war with neighbor has stirred outrage Susan Collins, the embattled Republican senator for Maine, announced that several industries crucial to her state would be… -
Maine voters reveal why Susan Collins could defy the polls in crucial Senate showdownMaine voters weigh in on Susan Collins' re-election bid against Troy Jackson, revealing why the longtime Republican senator's personal connections could prove decisive. Maine voters reveal why Susan Collins could defy the polls in crucial… -
DAVID MARCUS: In blue Maine, nobody believes Susan Collins will lose until they see itMaine voters weigh in on Susan Collins' re-election bid against Troy Jackson, revealing why the longtime Republican senator's personal connections could prove decisive. There are two elements of the Senate race in Maine that truly stand… -
Susan Collins won women in 2020. How they break in 2026 could decide the Maine Senate race.The Republican senator narrowly won among women in 2020 even as they voted against Trump. This year, many are considering supporting Democrat Troy Jackson. LEWISTON, Maine — Tammy Green isn’t sure whom she’ll be supporting in Maine’s hotly… -
U.S. dropping some Canada tariffs, Susan Collins says as trade war looms over Maine Senate raceSen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, announced today that nine categories of products crucial for Maineâs agricultural industries, including blueberry, potato, apple, and seaweed producers, will be exempted from U.S. tariffs on Canada. CNBC's… -
Trump lifts 50% tariffs on some Canadian goods in boon to Maine Sen. Susan CollinsOctober 23, 2026 / 5:32 PM EDT / CBS News President Trump on Friday slashed tariffs on a handful of Canadian products that are used widely by Maine's agricultural industry, a move cheered by Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who is facing a… -
Susan Collins Gets Trump Boost As New Poll Erases Jackson’s LeadOct 24, 2026 at 06:39 AM EDT Oct 24, 2026 at 06:44 AM EDT President Donald Trump has handed Republican Senator Susan Collins a timely economic boost in the competitive Maine Senate race, unveiling support for the state’s lobster industry… -
Trump administration cancels some Canada tariffs, Sen. Susan Collins saysThe Trump administration has granted tariff exemptions on some Canadian products, Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who’s facing a tough re-election battle in Maine, said Friday. The move is an implicit acknowledgement that President Donald… -
AOC campaigns for Troy Jackson in Maine and slams Susan CollinsCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. AOC campaigns for… -
Why replacing Susan Collins would be so costly for MaineBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. As chair of the Senate…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions