Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
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Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
66%Minnesota US Senate
- Minnesota US Senate66%▼ 1
- Mississippi US Senate33%
How the odds have moved
Minnesota US Senate: 60% on Oct 20, 66% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETMinnesota US Senate: 60% → 66%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota US Senate | 66% | ▼ 1 | 64¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 9.3K |
| Mississippi US Senate | 33% | 29¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 1.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Closer Senate, Minnesota, Mississippi
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Cook Political Report shifts Minnesota US Senate race in favor of RepublicanThe shift comes as fraud, crime and the economy take center stage in the race between Republican Michele Tafoya and Democratic Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan. (The Center Square) – With less than two weeks until Election Day, the Minnesota U.S… -
Anger over rising prices could be decisive in Alaska’s unusually close Senate raceVoters in Alaska told NBC News that the skyrocketing cost of living is the main issue driving anger at Trump and GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan, who faces a tight re-election race. ANCHORAGE, Alaska — As voters in the Last Frontier prepare to… -
Exclusive / Democrats see Trump ‘rescue mission’ in MississippiBoth parties remain skeptical that Democrats can win Mississippi’s Senate race, but there are signs it’s competitive. Some Democrats are trying to temper soaring expectations in the battle for the Senate â but they also canât help but… -
Why Democrats see a path to victory in Mississippi midterm electionCNN National Political Writer Fredreka Schouten joins Fredricka Whitfield to break down why Democrat Scott Colom is hopeful that he can unseat incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith. Despite Donald Trump winning the state by 23… -
Minnesota's unhoused got a chance to hit the pollsCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6pm CBS News New York CBS News Philadelphia 7:30pm KDKA News at 7 Your Stories From Your Community Reporters CBS News Texas Saturday 5pm -
Catholic Charities helps Minnesota's unhoused vote ahead of midtermsOctober 24, 2026 / 6:49 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota More than 400,000 Minnesotans have already voted in this midterm election, according to the Secretary of State's office, a big increase from 2022, when around 280,000 were reported during that… -
WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders rallies with Minnesota Democrats in DuluthSen. Bernie Sanders joins Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Attorney General Keith Ellison at a Duluth, Minnesota, get-out-the-vote campaign rally. WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders rallies with Minnesota Democrats in Duluth Sen. Bernie Sanders joins… - At Clemson, Trump stumps for Darline Graham amid rowdy protests, dissatisfaction with close Senate racePresident Donald Trump at Clemson speech / The College Fix CLEMSON, S.C. — President Donald Trump gave a stump speech for Republican Darline Graham near Clemson University on Wednesday night to help the sister of the late Sen. Lindsey…
- A Black Democrat has a chance to win in Mississippi’s Senate raceBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Scott Colom has a shot…
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In close Senate race, outside groups have spent more against Hyde-Smith than those supporting herSeven committees have reported independent spending in Mississippi’s U.S. Senate race. Five of them are spending against incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith. Federal Election Commission’s records show 47 independent expenditures nming Hyde-Smith… -
Minnesota Woman speaks out after husband detained by ICE at immigration interviewCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota Woman… -
Exclusive / El-Sayed’s new ad pitch: Republicans love meThe Michigan progressive, locked in a close Senate race, is spotlighting the praise he’s gotten from conservative pundits. The ScoopMichigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayedâs campaign is launching a new TV ad with a unique…
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Michigan Senate winner? (2026)
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Minnesota Senate winner? (2026)
84%Peggy Flanagan
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions