Hungary rate decision in November (Nov 17, 2026 meeting)

Kalshi Economy › Central banks Closes Nov 17 · $87 today · $2.9K traded · $2.1K at stake · prices read 66 min ago

The odds

87%Maintain current rate
  • Maintain current rate87%▲ 3
  • Cut 1-25bps7%▼ 2
  • Hike 1-25bps4%▲ 1
  • Cut more than 25bps3%
  • Hike more than 25bps1%

How the odds have moved

Maintain current rate: 88% on Oct 21, 87% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETMaintain current rate: 88% → 80%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Maintain current rate 87% ▲ 3 85¢ 88¢ $1.14 2.8K
Cut 1-25bps 7% ▼ 2 3¢ 10¢ $10.00 3.00
Hike 1-25bps 4% ▲ 1 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 535
Cut more than 25bps 3% 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 7.1K
Hike more than 25bps 1% 1¢ $100.00 21.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Hungary

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  • After Orbán, Hungary Is Falling Out of Love with RussiaNational Review · 3 days agoThe newly empowered Tisza party is distancing the country from Russia while stopping short of fully embracing Ukraine.
  • The Hungarian Revolution Was the First Tear in the Iron CurtainNational Review · 3 days agoHow the Author of the Constitution Won, Eventually Reunion with Rome: An Orthodox Perspective Once Upon a Time in Harlem Recaptures History The Lessons We Should Take — and Not Take — from Ancient Greece Continue reading this article with…
  • Former NY Gov. Pataki visits war-torn Ukraine, Hungary in freedom tourNew York Post · 3 days agoFormer three-term New York Gov. George Pataki is heading to Ukraine on a humanitarian trip after visiting Hungary to commemorate the 70th anniversary of that country’s revolt against the Soviet Union in 1956. Pataki, whose family hails…
  • European leaders join Hungary’s 1956 revolution commemoration as Magyar resets EU tiesThe Washington Post · 3 days agoNumerous foreign guests, including European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, visited Hungary’s capital on Friday BUDAPEST, Hungary — Numerous foreign guests representing countries across Europe visited Hungary’s capital on Friday…
  • Wreckage of Soviet World War II fighter plane, pilot's personal items found buried underground in HungaryCBS News · 4 days agoOctober 22, 2026 / 10:52 AM EDT / CBS News The wreckage of a World War II-era Soviet jet was discovered in rural Hungary, along with some of its pilot's personal items, according to the Hungarian Museum of Military History and local media…
  • Stefanchuk discusses bilateral cooperation with Hungarian partners@ukrinform · 2 days agoAccording to Ukrinform, Stefanchuk reported this on Facebook. “These meetings marked an important step toward further deepening the partnership between our countries and developing dialogue at all levels,” Stefanchuk noted. According to…
  • The Hungarian drought is visible from space!DailyNewsHungary · 2 days agoAlmost half of the average rainfall is missing this year. The drought situation is so severe that it is now visible from space! The Hungarian drought is visible from space! Almost half of the average rainfall is missing this year. Hungary…
  • Hungary commemorates crushed 1956 uprisingYahoo News · 3 days agoGuests from across Europe joined the Hungarian government on Friday to celebrate the anniversary of the country's revolution against communist rule. The uprising began exactly 70 years ago, on October 23, 1956; Twelve days later, on…
  • Hungary Politics Explained, Who Holds Power in 2026The Rio Times · 2 days agoHungary is governed by Prime Minister Péter Magyar and his pro-European Tisza party, which defeated Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz in the April 12, 2026 parliamentary election. Tisza won 141 of Parliament’s 199 seats, more than two-thirds, with 53%…
  • Ex-Hungary central bank chief detained on fraud suspicion@thepeninsulaqatar · 2 days agoBudapest: A Hungarian court on Friday ordered the detention of Gyorgy Matolcsy, former governor of the National Bank of Hungary (MNB), on suspected economic fraud and private document forgery. The Buda Central District Court ordered…
  • Stefanchuk, Hungarian Parliament speaker discuss historical issuesInterfax-Ukraine · 3 days agoChairman of the Verkhovna Rada Ruslan Stefanchuk, who is on a working visit to Hungary, met with Speaker of the Hungarian National Assembly (parliament) Ágnes Forszthoffer, according to a post on the Ukrainian parliament's Telegram channel…
  • Government: Hungary exposed to premeditated attackDailyNewsHungary · 3 days agoBudapest, September 17 (MTI) – Hungarian police have been subjected to a premeditated attack at Roszke on the Serbian border, the government spokesman said on Thursday. What happened on Wednesday was “a brutal attack, for which there is no…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions