Bank of Brazil decision in December?

Polymarket Economy › Central banks Closes Dec 9 · $2.3K today · $47K traded · $4.8K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

The odds

44%No Change
  • No Change44%▼ 21
  • 25 bps decrease20%▲ 4
  • 50+ bps increase14%▼ 1
  • 25 bps increase7%▲ 6
  • 50+ bps decrease3%

How the odds have moved

No Change: 19% on Oct 20, 44% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
No Change 44% ▼ 21 43¢ 45¢ $2.22 $16.1K
25 bps decrease 20% ▲ 4 19¢ 20¢ $5.00 $17K
50+ bps increase 14% ▼ 1 6¢ 22¢ $4.46 $2.5K
25 bps increase 7% ▲ 6 7¢ 8¢ $12.20 $2.8K
50+ bps decrease 3% 1¢ 5¢ $18.52 $8.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Bank of Brazil

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  • Brazil Seeks US$38M Under Anti-Faction LawThe Rio Times · 4 days agoBRAZIL · ORGANISED CRIME Read our Brazil election 2026 runoff guide → Brazil runoff polls · Polymarket and Kalshi odds · When results come · Brazil election poll data (CSV) Flávio Bolsonaro 76.7% · Lula 23.5% (US$193 million traded) Flávio…
  • Uaralyx’s Brazil Market Adaptation Strategy: Redefining Local Service Boundaries Through Compliance InfrastructurePinion Newswire · 5 days agoAn in-depth look at how Uaralyx translates rigorous regional compliance requirements into a core driver of digital asset trading through user identity verification, product permissions, and local service integration. Uaralyx’s Brazil…
  • Mastercard unveils AI assistant to help cardholders use benefitselectronicpaymentsinternational.com · 5 days agoMastercard has introduced an AI-powered assistant called Mastercard Max to help cardholders find, understand and use their card benefits. C6 Bank in Brazil is among the first issuers bringing the service to customers. Issuers can embed…
  • Bybit Files for VASP License in Brazil, Strengthening LocalCoinfomania · 5 days agoBybit submits its VASP license application to Brazil's Central Bank, signaling commitment to the local market. Here's why it matters. Bybit files for a VASP license in Brazil, enhancing regulatory alignment. The application supports…
  • Technology drives increase in service importsvalorinternational · 6 days agoAccording to the Central Bank of Brazil, service imports totaled $77.8 billion from January to August, up $8.6 billion from the same period in 2025. The largest increases were in travel ($2.5 billion), telecommunications, computer and…
  • Finance Ministry advances sustainable investment agendavalorinternational · 7 days agoThe Finance Ministry is taking another step toward placing Brazil at the forefront of countries seeking sustainable investment. This week, the ministry is launching the second phase of the Brazilian Sustainable Taxonomy, with new…
  • Plus500 Acquires Brazilian Broker-Dealer GuruGood Money Guide · 7 days agoCFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and…
  • Plus500 agrees to buy Brazil’s GuruLeapRate · 7 days agoPlus500 agrees to buy Brazilian broker-dealer Guru from existing cash, a week after Hedge in the US. Price, approvals and completion date are undisclosed. Plus500 has conditionally agreed to buy all of Guru Corretora de Títulos e Valores…
  • Plus500 Agrees Brazil Broker Deal With Guru, Second Acquisition in a WeekAskTraders.com · 7 days agoPlus500 has conditionally agreed to buy Brazilian broker-dealer Guru, a week after agreeing a US deal for Hedge. It is paying from its own cash, and no price has been disclosed for either. Plus500 (LON: PLUS) has conditionally agreed to…
  • Plus500 agrees acquisition of Brazilian broker-dealer Gurushareprices.com · 8 days ago20th Oct 2026 08:36 (Alliance News) - Plus500 Ltd on Tuesday said it has agreed to buy Brazilian broker-dealer Guru Corretora de Titulos e Valores Mobiliarios Ltda, expanding its presence in Latin America. The Haifa, Israel-based online…
  • Base Exchange opens registration for banks and brokeragesvalorinternational · 12 days ago“We have been in contact with these institutions for months, but the project has now reached a stage at which we can begin formalizing their entry as users of our future exchange,” Base Exchange CEO Francisco Gurgel told Valor. According…
  • Why Multilatinas Are Becoming More AmericanAmericas Quarterly · 12 days agoFor more than a year, the United States has reshaped global and hemispheric trade with a tariff policy that has made market access, supply chains, and regulatory alignment top priorities for governments worldwide. The new scenario has also…

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