Bank of Russia rate decision in December (Dec 18, 2026 meeting)
68%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate68%▲ 6
- Cut 1-25bps18%▼ 1
- Cut more than 25bps5%▼ 2
2 more
- Hike 1-25bps4%
- Hike more than 25bps4%▼ 1
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Bank of Russia rate decision in October (Oct 23, 2026 meeting)
Settled Maintain current rateA day before, traders gave it 80%.
The last odds before it closed
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- ✓ Maintain current rate78%▼ 3
- Hike 1-25bps8%▲ 4
- Cut more than 25bps5%▲ 1
- Hike more than 25bps5%▲ 1
- Cut 1-25bps1%▼ 11
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 86% on Oct 20, 80% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Maintain current rate | 78% | 12.1K | ||||
| ✗ Hike 1-25bps | 8% | 386 | ||||
| ✗ Cut more than 25bps | 5% | 1.1K | ||||
| ✗ Hike more than 25bps | 5% | 459 | ||||
| ✗ Cut 1-25bps | 1% | 1.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ukraine, Russia, Zelensky
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How Trump’s Hero Winston Churchill Would Handle Putin and UkraineOct 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT When Donald Trump wanted to cut Keir Starmer down to size in March, he reached for his hero. "This is not Winston Churchill," the president said in the Oval Office, after Britain initially refused to let U.S… -
Russia given first championships since Ukraine invasionWeightlifting was first included as an Olympic sport in the 1896 Games in Athens Moscow will host the 2030 World Weightlifting Championships - the first time an Olympic federation has chosen to stage a global event in Russia since the… -
Trump lauds Melania over Russia-Ukraine localised ceasefire dealAl Jazeera Trump lauds Melania over Russia-Ukraine localised ceasefire deal US President Donald Trump praised First Lady Melania Trump, saying she was ‘better than our professionals’ following her diplomatic efforts towards a localised… -
Zelensky celebrates as Ukraine hits Putin's war factory with British missile and Starlink returnsUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is toasting a successful victory after his forceslanded a direct hit on Putin’s war factory using British missiles, according to reports. Video shared from the battlefield appears to show a major… -
Melania Trump's advisor reveals how she bridged Putin, Zelenskyy to broker frontline Ukraine truceMarc Beckman, a senior advisor to Melania Trump, joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discuss first lady Melania Trump's humanitarian efforts in Ukraine. Beckman details how the first lady successfully brokered a ceasefire in Oleshky, allowing… -
Massive Ukrainian drone attack hits shopping center in Russia's Belgorod Oblast, locals sayHelp us keep bringing the truth to light, even when Russia turns the lights out. A massive swarm of Ukrainian drones attacked the Russian border region of Belgorod overnight on Oct. 25, according to local officials and eyewitness footage… -
Dominican men fighting for Russia were duped into fighting Ukraine war, beg for rescueThree men from the Dominican Republic are begging to be rescued from Russia, where they claimed they were lured by false promises of jobs — and then sent to the battlefield in the war with Ukraine. “We were deceived, contrary to what is… -
Zelensky: Russia launches 1,600 guided bombs, 48 missiles and nearly 2,300 attack drones at Ukraine in one weekPresident Volodymyr Zelensky reported this on Facebook, according to Ukrinform. “This week alone, Russia has fired approximately 1,600 guided bombs, 48 missiles of various types—including ballistic missiles—and nearly 2,300 attack drones… -
First Russian diesel tanker heads to New York after Trump's deal with Putin to lower fuel pricesRetired Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Arnold Punaro discusses President Donald Trump's diesel deal with Russia as a tanker heads to the US on 'America Reports.' The first tanker with 40,000 tons of diesel left for New York from Russia earlier… -
Ukraine war briefing: Kyiv targets Russian-occupied Crimea as UK and France conduct joint military exerciseCrimea strikes cause water and power cuts; war game designed to show how Nato countries could be defended amid fears of Russian aggression. What we know on day 1,705A Ukrainian attack led to water and power cuts in occupied Crimea on… -
Ukrainian President Zelensky confirms access to Starshield has been restoredAfter a week of slow Starlink speeds hindering Ukrainian military operations, the Ukrainian defense ministry announced on Saturday that full access to the military grade internet service has been restored. Voter turnout is already high in… -
Putin’s Russia threatens British targets in Ukraine over support for KyivVladimir Putin’s government has warned that British facilities in Ukraine will be considered “legitimate targets” if they are used to support long-range strikes against Russia. The Russian foreign ministry summoned the UK’s deputy head of…
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Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
81%Hike 25bps
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Bank of Brazil decision in November?
60%No Change
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Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
5median
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Median 5Middle half 5 – 6
Bank of Israel rate decision in November (Nov 23, 2026 meeting)
53%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate53%▼ 9
- Cut 1-25bps46%▲ 13
- Hike 1-25bps1%
2 more
- Cut more than 25bps1%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions