Bank of England decision in December?
55%No change
- No change55%▼ 1
- 25 bps increase31%▲ 1
- 50+ bps decrease6%
- 50+ bps increase5%
1 more
- 25 bps decrease4%
Install
Bank of England rate decision in December (Dec 17, 2026 meeting)
The odds
54%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate54%▲ 2
- Hike 1-25bps30%▲ 1
- Hike more than 25bps10%▼ 1
- Cut 1-25bps5%▼ 1
- Cut more than 25bps2%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 51% on Oct 20, 54% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 54% | ▲ 2 | 54¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 6.1K |
| Hike 1-25bps | 30% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 3.5K |
| Hike more than 25bps | 10% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 1.6K |
| Cut 1-25bps | 5% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.3K |
| Cut more than 25bps | 2% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | 690 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- Bank of England rate decision in December (Dec 17, 2026 meeting)Hike 50+ bpKalshi 10%Polymarket 5%5 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Bank of England
Search ›-
Martin Lewis says 'I'm concerned' ahead of Bank of England November 5 announcementMartin Lewis urged people with credit or store card debt to act quickly Martin Lewis says that people with credit card debt should 'act sooner', ahead of a key Bank of England announcement next month. Speaking as part of his BBC podcast… -
Bank of England: November hike added as UK inflation stays firm – Danske BankDanske Research Team reports that UK headline CPI rose to 3.5% year-on-year in September, with core and services inflation also edging higher and exceeding Bank of England projections. On the back of stronger inflation and resilient… -
Bank of England chief sounds alarm over AI borrowing binge that could trigger market crashThe Bank of England Governor has sounded the alarm over sky-high levels of borrowing in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector, which could pose a risk to financial stability. Andrew Bailey said 'none of us know' whether there is a… -
The Bank of England just got its clearest reason to hike. Here's what it's really watchingThe acceleration significantly strengthens expectations of monetary tightening as early as November. However, the latest inflation increase masks a more complex problem. Much of the acceleration stems from energy prices, driven by the… - Mitsubishi UFG Focuses on Bank of England's Thursday Policy MeetingPublished on 11/06/2025 at 07:24 am EST EIB's Calvino Says Brexit Divided Europe's Capital Markets June 17, 2026 at 07:34 am EDT Tensions Still High 10 Years After Brexit Sterling Weakens Ahead of This Week's Bank of England Policy…
- Bank of England's Greene says inflation risks are bigger than thoughtPublished on 10/20/2026 at 01:13 pm EDT - Modified on 10/20/2026 at 02:27 pm EDT LONDON, Oct 20 (Reuters) - Bank of England policymaker Megan Greene said the risks of a pickup in broader inflation as a result of the energy price shock from…
- GBP/USD Signal: Bulls Target 1.3500 as Bank of England Rate Hike Odds SurgeSell the GBP/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.3300. Add a stop-loss at 1.3500. GBP/USD pair continued its upward trend after the UK published a strong consumer inflation report, raising the possibility that the Bank of England (BoE)…
- Sterling Weakens Ahead of This Week's Bank of England Policy Meeting, Says Mitsubishi UFGPublished on 11/03/2025 at 07:32 am EST EIB's Calvino Says Brexit Divided Europe's Capital Markets June 17, 2026 at 07:34 am EDT Tensions Still High 10 Years After Brexit Mitsubishi UFG Focuses on Bank of England's Thursday Policy Meeting
-
Bank of England allocates record £143.083 billion in weekly repoPublished on 10/22/2026 at 06:28 am EDT Neither Hot nor Cold October 22, 2026 at 02:15 am EDT The rupee resists oil, supported by Jio Platforms IPO flows And now, should the ECB intervene? -
Bank of England: Rate path shaped by energy shock – ING"For the Bank of England, this poses a dilemma. While economic growth has been more resilient than feared, and the jobs market is stabilising, there’s very little evidence so far that the energy shock is spilling into other parts of the… -
BANK OF ENGLAND GOVERNOR ANDREW BAILEY WILL NOT DISCUSS CURRENT MONETARY POLICY AT OMFIF EVENTBANK OF ENGLAND GOVERNOR ANDREW BAILEY WILL NOT DISCUSS CURRENT MONETARY POLICY IN OMFIF EVENT TradingView BANK OF ENGLAND GOVERNOR ANDREW BAILEY WILL NOT DISCUSS CURRENT MONETARY POLICY AT OMFIF EVENT -
With interest rates set to rise, is it time to reconsider the Bank of England’s mandate?Edinburgh Chamber of Commerce With interest rates set to rise, is it time to reconsider the Bank of England’s mandate? Emeritus Professor Joe Nellis is Head of Economic Research at MHA, the accountancy and advisory firm. Rising consumer…
Related markets
All central banks ›Bank of England rate decision in November (Nov 5, 2026 meeting)
96%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps96%
- Maintain current rate3%
- Cut more than 25bps<1%
2 more
- Cut 1-25bps<1%
- Hike more than 25bps<1%
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
81%Hike 25bps
- Hike 25bps81%▼ 1
- Maintains rate17%
- Hike >25bps1%▲ 1
2 more
- Cut >25bps1%
- Cut 25bps1%
Bank of Brazil decision in November?
82%25 bps decrease
- 25 bps decrease82%▼ 4
- No Change17%▲ 3
- 50+ bps increase<1%
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%▼ 2
- 25 bps increase<1%
South Africa rate decision in November (Nov 19, 2026 meeting)
38%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate38%▼ 5
- Hike 1-25bps37%▲ 34
- Cut 1-25bps21%▼ 3
2 more
- Hike more than 25bps5%▼ 1
- Cut more than 25bps2%▼ 3
Bank of Israel rate decision in November (Nov 23, 2026 meeting)
67%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate67%▲ 9
- Cut 1-25bps35%▼ 1
- Hike 1-25bps1%
2 more
- Cut more than 25bps1%▼ 1
- Hike more than 25bps<1%▼ 1
Bank of Russia decision in December?
72%No change
- No change72%▲ 6
- 25 bps decrease19%▼ 4
- 50+ bps decrease4%▼ 1
2 more
- 25 bps increase3%▼ 1
- 50+ bps increase2%▼ 2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions