Colombia rate decision in October (Oct 30, 2026 meeting)

Kalshi Economy › Central banks Closes Fri 1:59 PM ET · $242 today · $6.6K traded · $2.7K at stake · prices read 7 min ago

The odds

53%Maintain current rate
  • Maintain current rate53%▼ 4
  • Hike 1-25bps34%▲ 4
  • Hike more than 25bps7%▼ 4
  • Cut more than 25bps2%
  • Cut 1-25bps1%

How the odds have moved

Maintain current rate: 55% on Oct 20, 53% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Maintain current rate 53% ▼ 4 52¢ 54¢ $1.85 4.5K
Hike 1-25bps 34% ▲ 4 33¢ 34¢ $2.94 11.6K
Hike more than 25bps 7% ▼ 4 5¢ 9¢ $11.11 3.1K
Cut more than 25bps 2% 3¢ $33.33 5.3K
Cut 1-25bps 1% 1¢ $100.00 8.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Colombia

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  • Colombia Stocks Rise 0.44% as Oil Climbs | Colombia Market Report, Oct 23The Rio Times · 45 h agoColombian stocks rose on Friday, 23 October, and the peso gained against the dollar, helped by higher oil prices. The COLCAP gained 0.44% to 2,539.59 points, according to La República. The Brent oil benchmark settled about 3.1% higher at…
  • US May Widen Colombia Visa Bans Beyond 21The Rio Times · 38 h agoCOLOMBIA · US SANCTIONS The United States is weighing a fourth round of pressure on Colombian figures after the latest Colombia visa bans, the Bogotá daily El Tiempo said on Friday 23 October 2026. Its investigative unit says sources in…
  • VACtívate course boosts vaccination knowledge across 20 Colombian citiesBIOENGINEER.ORG · 39 h agoVACtívate was structured into four modules. The first covered vaccine education. The second examined decision-making in vaccination. The third focused on the role of influential agents, the communicators and leaders whose messages travel…
  • Colombia’s 12.25% Rate Faces 30 Oct VoteThe Rio Times · 46 h ago—Next decision. Banco de la República announces its next rate decision on Friday, 30 October 2026, with the policy rate at 12.25%. —Last move. On 30 September the board raised the rate by 0.25 points to 12.25%, effective 1 October. —Vote…
  • US Restricts Visas for 7 Named ColombiansThe Rio Times · 44 h ago—Who. Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced visa restrictions on 21 people in Colombia, seven of them named. —What. Those covered can lose existing US visas and be refused new ones, and the curbs extend to family members. —Scale. The…
  • Colombia Repeals 15 Mining DistrictsThe Rio Times · 2 days agoThe Colombia mining districts, 15 special zones created under the previous government to steer mining areas toward other work, have been repealed by the national mining ministry, La República reported on Friday 23 October 2026. The…
  • Colombia swaps 10.3 trillion pesos of local debtMarketScreener · 2 days agoColombia's Finance Ministry carried out a swap of domestic public debt securities worth 10.3 trillion pesos on Friday to extend maturities and reduce short-term repayment pressures amid the... -October 23, 2026 at 05:06 pm EDT…
  • Bayern Munich star Luis Díaz could miss as many as eight games, plus Colombia matchesYahoo Sports · 3 days agoEarlier this week, Bayern Munich was dealt a significant blow with Luis Díaz expected to be sidelined for at least a month after an MRI scan revealed that his injury is more serious than initially anticipated, according to Bild (via…
  • Building Coastal Resilience in Bangladesh, the Philippines, and Colombia: Country Experiences with Mainstreaming Climate AdaptationWorld Resources Institute · 39 h agoApplying the filters below will filter all articles, data, insights and projects by the topic area you select. Not sure where to find something? Search all of the site's content. This Working Paper is part of Mainstreaming Adaptation and…
  • Colombia Extradites Mocho Olmedo on 4 CountsThe Rio Times · 2 days agoColombia extradites Mocho Olmedo, a commander of a FARC dissident group, to face cocaine-trafficking charges in a Florida federal court. Colombian outlets reported on Friday 23 October 2026 that Willinton Henao Gutiérrez had left La Picota…
  • Colombia Homicides Hold at 38 a DayThe Rio Times · 2 days agoColombia homicides ran at about 38 a day from January to September 2026, level with 2025, national police data show. Kidnappings averaged about 1.2 a day, far below last year’s pace but above 2024. For US readers the figures set the…
  • Crypto Money Laundering Ring Dismantled: Eight Detained in Multi-City Colombian OperationParameter · 33 h agoLaw enforcement officials in Colombia have detained eight individuals suspected of facilitating the conversion of drug cartel proceeds into cryptocurrency. The operation was executed with the collaboration of American intelligence…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions