Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Tariff
76%
60¢
81¢
$1.23
200
Ukraine / Ukrainian
69%
▼ 4
19¢
46¢
$2.17
17.00
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
66%
53¢
65¢
$1.54
7.00
Rare Earth / Mineral
65%
▲ 9
49¢
66¢
$1.52
292
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
58%
▼ 12
42¢
53¢
$1.89
2.00
China / Chinese
53%
28¢
56¢
$1.79
119
USMCA / CUSMA
49%
16¢
45¢
$2.22
40.00
Event does not qualify
6%
1¢
10¢
$10.00
5.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York Times DealBook Summit, NYT DealBook Summit, Mark Carney
Conservative Landslide in British Columbia Sends Warning to Mark CarneyNewsweek · 25 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM EDT British Columbia has elected a Conservative government for the first time in 98 years in a landslide victory that could be a warning for Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney. The left-leaning New Democratic…
Mark Carney’s anti-Trump hysteria could be his nation’s downfall@spikedonline · 27 h agoIn pivoting from the US to China and the EU, Canada is cutting off its nose to spite its face. No one will miss Donald Trump’s inevitable departure more than Canada’s prime minister, Mark Carney. Carney, the ultimate globalist, who…
Mark Carney Rejects US Election Interference ClaimsNewser · 3 days agoCanadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said Friday there is "no merit" to US allegations that Canadian politicians are interfering in next month's US midterm elections.... Mark Carney Rejects US Election Interference Claims Canadian Prime…
GOLDSTEIN: Mark Carney’s selective morality on human rightsToronto Sun · 2 days agoThe Prime Minister makes an argument of necessity, but Israel can make the same argument If Mark Carney is going to keep gallivanting around the world making trade deals with the world’s worst dictatorships and downplaying their…
Pierre Poilievre, Tories to demand Mark Carney testify on deficits and debt interestToronto Sun · 36 h ago'Canadians deserve to know how you will bring that burden down,' wrote Opposition Leader Pierre Poilievre in a letter to the PM on Sunday OTTAWA — It’s time for the PM to sit in the hot seat. That’s the purpose of a letter dispatched to…
Michael Higgins: Mahmoud Abbas played Mark Carney for a foolNational Post · 2 days agoOur prime minister is now left looking weak and powerless after being outfoxed by Abbas Prime Minister Mark Carney’s threat to hold the Palestinian Authority “to account” for not holding elections this year is not a joke, but it’s…
Mark Carney Siblings: All About Sean, Brenda and Brian CarneyKahawatungu · 3 days agoMark Joseph Carney is a Canadian economist, banker, and politician who has served as the 24th Prime Minister of Canada and leader of the Liberal Party since March 2025. Born on March 16, 1965, in Fort Smith, Northwest Territories, he is…
LILLEY: PM Mark Carney's steel spin won't save a single jobToronto Sun · 3 days agoOttawa wants Stelco to rehire 500 workers while refusing to tackle the policies, tariffs and trade barriers that are making Canadian steel harder to sell We’ll build a new LNG export terminal using Chinese steel, keep letting in cheap…
Video: LIVE: Canada PM Mark Carney speaks after Alberta voted to stay in CanadaLiveTube News · 4 days agoAbout LiveTube Ltd. 🌍 🚀 Welcome to LiveTube! We believe in the power of real-time content. Our platform allows users to broadcast their stories to the world, unfiltered and in real-time. We're passionate about providing a space where…
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney visits TurkeyThe Lufkin Daily News · 4 days agoThe Lufkin Daily News Turkey's Transport and Infrastructure Minister Abdulkadir Uraloglu and Canadian Foreign Minister Anita Anand, with Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney in the foreground, attend a…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
