Cape Verde presidential election winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 15, 2027 · $3.2K traded · $2.3K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

83%PAICV

PAICV83%▼ 1
MpD14%▼ 1
UCID2%

How the odds have moved

PAICV: 83% on Oct 20, 83% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
PAICV	83%	▼ 1	82¢	88¢	$1.14	3.7K
MpD	14%	▼ 1	11¢	18¢	$5.56	528
UCID	2%		1¢	4¢	$25.00	1.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Cape Verde

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Cape Verde Presidential Election 2026: Date and CandidatesThe Rio Times · 5 days agoCABO VERDE · ELECTION 2026 · GUIDE Live updates: Cabo Verde presidential election, every story as it happens → Updated 21 October 2026 Cape Verde, an Atlantic archipelago off West Africa, elects its president on Sunday 15 November, with a…
Cabo Verde Election Prep Passes Halfway MarkThe Rio Times · 38 h agoCabo Verde’s election commission says more than half of its work for the 15 November presidential vote is finished. The update comes as the campaign nears its start in the Cape Verde presidential election 2026 coverage of The Rio Times…
Cabo Verde presidential electionThe Rio Times · 36 h agoSunday, 15 November: the date and times, what is at stake, live prediction-market odds and every update as it happens. Cape Verde votes on 15 November 2026, 4 a.m. to 2 p.m. ET, with a runoff on 29 November. Our guide covers the six…
Infantino Dismisses Resignation Talk Despite UEFA Criticism Over FIFA DealLEADERSHIP Newspapers · 44 h agoFIFA President Gianni Infantino has rejected suggestions he considered resigning and insisted he retains backing from the “vast, vast majority” of world football, despite criticism from UEFA and other confederations over the collapsed FIFA…
Infantino says backed by 'vast majority' in bid for re-election@thepeninsulaqatar · 43 h agoLondon: FIFA president Gianni Infantino has said he has the backing of the "vast, vast majority" of member associations in his bid for re-election despite criticism of his aborted World Cup selloff plan. The Asian Football Confederation…
Cabo Verde Eases Early Voting RulesThe Rio Times · 3 days agoCabo Verde has made it easier for patients in hospital and prisoners to vote early in the presidential election on Sunday, 15 November 2026. They no longer need a notary to certify the copy of their identity document, according to the Cabo…
Gianni Infantino Dismisses Resignation Calls, Confident in FIFA Re-ElectionThe CSR Journal · 2 days agoMuskan Lodhi is a Correspondent at The CSR Journal and a postgraduate in journalism. She has covered a diverse range of topics, including finance, sports, and entertainment. Always plugged into the digital world, she enjoys exploring…
Saar: Concerns over expansion of conflict between Iran and US discussedAriana News · 5 days agoUzbekistan, Norway discuss Afghanistan and regional security in Oslo Qatar calls for shift from humanitarian aid to economic recovery in Afghanistan UN warns 19.2 million Afghans could face acute food insecurity this winter Russian troops…
Governments warn citizens over security risks in France after riotsAriana News | Afghanistan News · 5 days agoGovernments across Europe and Asia have warned their citizens to exercise caution in France following violent protests over the rising cost of living and declining public services that erupted into riots over the weekend. The unrest on…
Tahawol: Iran’s reaction to Pakistan’s mediation discussedAriana News | Afghanistan News · 6 days agoAfghanistan reach Brazil futsal tournament final after beating Cape Verde 4-2 Trump says US may strike Iran’s ‘Pickaxe Mountain’ nuclear facility Regional partners seek progress on Trans-Afghan corridor and CASA railway Nearly 19.2 million…
Saar: Review of SCO meeting in TajikistanAriana News | Afghanistan News · 6 days agoAfghanistan reach Brazil futsal tournament final after beating Cape Verde 4-2 Trump says US may strike Iran’s ‘Pickaxe Mountain’ nuclear facility Regional partners seek progress on Trans-Afghan corridor and CASA railway Nearly 19.2 million…
Pakistan FM urges IEA not to allow Afghan soil to be used against PakistanAriana News | Afghanistan News · 6 days agoMohammad Ishaq Dar, Pakistan’s Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs, has called on the Islamic Emirate to ensure that Afghan territory is not used for terrorism against Pakistan and other countries around the world. Ishaq…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onComissão Nacional de Eleições

Trading closesNov 15, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$3.2K (4,196 contracts)

This week$23

At stake$2.3K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If PAICV wins the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions