US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report (Oct 28, 2026)
6%median
-12%12%
Median 6%
Install
Canada home price above C$700K in December? (December, 2026)
The odds
18%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 17% on Oct 19, 18% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 18% | ▼ 1 | 16¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 2.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Canada
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The top 25 modern golf courses in Canada, rankedWelcome to the Golfweek's Best 2026 ranking of the top 25 modern golf courses in Canada. Golfweek for many years ranked Canadian courses, but during COVID there wasn't much movement on the lists of best modern and classic courses in the… -
In Canada: Summer Walker, Bebe Rexha to Accept Awards at Billboard Canada Women in Music 2026Also this week: Drake finances a new album for a Canadian rapper and Tate McRae's Victoria's Secret performance draws criticism. Billboard Canada has announced some more major global names for Billboard Canada Women In Music, where Cardi B… -
Trump started a trade war with Canada. GOP candidates became casualties.Breaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. High tariffs on… -
Royal Carribean cruise to the Bahamas went to Canada insteadThis was one confused cruise. More than 5,000 passengers expecting a week of fun in the sun in the Bahamas instead found themselves headed for chilly Canada after stormy weather forced their Royal Caribbean cruise to change course. The… -
White House adds new tariffs on some Canadian importsCNBC's Eamon Javers reports on new tariffs that have been added to some Canadian imports after the White House removed tariffs that were affecting Maine. White House adds new tariffs on some Canadian imports -
Canada inflict back-to-back losses on EnglandBack-to-back losses for Red Roses against Canada Tries: Omokhuale, De Goede 3, Bauder Cons: De Goede 3 Tries: Feaunati, Cokayne, Sing Cons: Harrison, Sing Pens: Harrison England suffered back-to-back defeats for the first time in a decade… -
England suffer back-to-back losses to CanadaWatch highlights as England were beaten by Canada for the second time in as many weeks, losing 31-22 in their WXV Global Series match in Ottawa, Canada. Up Next. Evans' pride at reaching 50 Wales caps. Video, 00:00:30Evans' pride at… -
Trump dropping some Canada tariffs but ‘replacing’ them with other productsThe U.S. will issue tariff exemptions on several categories of Canadian imports, Sen. Susan Collins announced Friday. Trump dropping some Canada tariffs but âreplacingâ them with other products -
Thousands booked tropical Bahamas cruise and ended up in freezing Canada insteadHeritage Foundation Chief Economist EJ Antoni analyzes why cruise stocks, like Royal Caribbean, are rising. They discuss how cheaper fuel from potential Middle East energy flows boosts profitability. A cruise scheduled to sail to the sunny… -
White House says the US is lifting tariffs on some Canadian goodsThe US is lifting some of its 50% tariffs on Canadian goods, with the White House saying on Friday it was working to "protect the economic prosperity and national security of the American people". The exemptions could also boost Republican… -
US ambassador softens accusations of Canadian interference in midtermsIn an interview, Ambassador Pete Hoekstra said the U.S. had not determined whether there had, in fact, been any interference by Canadian officials. Pete Hoekstra, then-candidate for U.S. ambassador to Canada, takes his seat for a Senate…
Related markets
All housing ›Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
60%↑ 7.50%
- Reaches 7.5%60%
- Falls to 6.5%23%
- Falls to 6.25%17%
Already reached: ↑ 7.25%, ↑ 7.00%, ↑ 6.75%, ↑ 6.50%, ↑ 6.30%, ↑ 6.20%
US new home sales for September (September 2026)
646,667median
580,000760,000
Median 646,667Middle half 624,906 – 678,750
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
705,678median
670,000750,000
Median 705,678Middle half 701,441 – 709,915
US building permits for October (October 2026)
1.38median
1.201.65
Median 1.38Middle half 1.33 – 1.43
Will Illinois home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
90%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions