When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?

Kalshi Politics › World leaders Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $314 traded · $150 at stake · prices read 52 min ago

The odds

50%Before Jan 1, 2028
  • Before Jan 1, 20276%▼ 2
  • Before Jul 1, 202727%
  • Before Jan 1, 202850%

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 8% on Oct 19, 6% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027 6% ▼ 2 5¢ 7¢ $14.29 4.6K
Before Jul 1, 2027 27% 23¢ 31¢ $3.23
Before Jan 1, 2028 50% 47¢ 53¢ $1.89 78.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Canada, Canada-EU

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  • Canada–EU Critical Minerals Roundtable 2026: What We Heard - Clean Energy CanadaClean Energy Canada · 4 days agoCanada–EU Critical Minerals Roundtable 2026: What We Heard Clean Energy Canada Canada–EU Critical Minerals Roundtable 2026: What We Heard - Canada and the European Union have rarely been more aligned on critical minerals, but after years…
  • Canada-EU summit to focus on cloud, AI & critical mineralsCTV News · 4 days agoCTV News Canada-EU summit to focus on cloud, AI & critical minerals A draft joint statement obtained by The Canadian Press outlines closer Canada-EU cooperation on digital security, critical resources and water bombers, including 50…
  • AI, resources and water bombers: Draft document maps Canada, EU path to closer tiessaskNOW | Saskatchewan | News · 5 days agoMONTREAL — Canada and the European Union are laying out concrete steps to strengthen ties around digital security and defence as well as critical resources and a would-be fleet of Canadian-made water bombers, according to a draft joint…
  • Alberta Rejects Independence From CanadaNewsweek · 14 h agoOct 20, 2026 at 02:31 AM EDT Voters in Canada's Alberta province have overwhelmingly rejected a referendum to start the process toward independence, according to early results. With more than one million votes counted as of early Tuesday…
  • Draft document maps Canada-EU path to closer tiesThe Globe and Mail · 5 days agoA draft joint statement from Canada and the European Union lays out concrete steps to strengthen ties around digital security, defence and resources ahead of a major summit at the end of the month. A draft joint statement from Canada and…
  • As Americans play ‘power game,’ draft document shows Canada-EU responseCTVNews · 5 days agoCanada and the European Union are laying out concrete steps to strengthen ties around digital security, critical resources and a would-be fleet of Canadian water bombers, according to a draft joint statement ahead of a major summit at…
  • Alberta voters weigh future in CanadaNPR · 29 h agoForever Canadian signs in front of a home in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, Sept. 28, 2026. John Diep/Bloomberg via Getty Images hide caption EDMONTON, Alberta — For decades, Alberta separatism remained on the political margins. Now, voters in…
  • Why Alberta voters are weighing separating from CanadaCBS News · 20 h agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Alberta voters set…
  • Alberta voters reject move toward separation from Canada in referendumCBS News · 7 h agoOctober 20, 2026 / 2:11 AM EDT / AP Voters in Canada's oil-rich province of Alberta have rejected a proposal to begin a process toward independence, results showed early Tuesday, delivering a victory for Prime Minister Mark Carney and…
  • Alberta voters reject plan for referendum to leave Canada, CBC projectsthe Guardian · 7 h agoProjection delivers a victory for prime minister Mark Carney and supporters of Canadian unity Voters in Canada’s Alberta have overwhelmingly rejected a proposal to begin a process toward independence, the national broadcaster CBC has…
  • Alberta voters reject a move toward independence in referendum backing Canadian unityNPR · 8 h agoA voting location in Wainwright, Alberta, is seen on Monday, Oct. 19, 2026. Ty O'Neil/AP hide caption EDMONTON, Alberta — Voters in Canada's oil-rich province of Alberta have rejected a proposal to begin a process toward independence…

Related markets

All world leaders ›

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Aug 10, 2028even chance by
  • Before Nov 1, 20262%▲ 1
  • Before Dec 1, 20265%▲ 1
  • Before Jan 1, 20278%
14 more
  • Before Feb 1, 20279%▲ 3
  • Before Mar 1, 202714%
  • Before Apr 1, 202720%▼ 1
  • Before May 1, 202720%▲ 4
  • Before Jun 1, 202726%▼ 2
  • Before Jul 1, 202733%▼ 3
  • Before Aug 1, 202733%▲ 3
  • Before Sep 1, 202733%▼ 1
  • Before Oct 1, 202738%
  • Before Nov 1, 202741%
  • Before Dec 1, 202741%▼ 3
  • Before Jan 1, 202846%▼ 2
  • Before Jul 1, 202849%▼ 2
  • Before Jan 1, 202956%▼ 6
KalshiFor Mar 17 · $14.3K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.