Brazil Presidential Election
78%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro78%▼ 6
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva22%▲ 6
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Canary Islands regional election winner? (2027)
The odds
55%PSOE
- PSOE55%▲ 1
- CC33%▲ 1
- PP11%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
PSOE: 55% on Oct 19, 55% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSOE | 55% | ▲ 1 | 51¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | |
| CC | 33% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | |
| PP | 11% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Canary Islands
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Canary Islands Set to Finalise State Agreement on Joint Airport Management by 29 OctoberThe Government of the Canary Islands plans to finalise an agreement with the Spanish state on 29 October, establishing a bilateral airport authority. This new body aims to give the autonomous community a role in decisions concerning the… -
Canary Islands cut disability assessment waiting lists by 75.5%The Canary Islands government says it issued 57,184 disability decisions during the current legislature, cutting assessment waiting lists by 75.5%. Decentralised teams have brought procedures within the 180-day legal limit on the… -
The Green Party of the Canary Islands reaches an electoral agreement with Unity of the Canarian PeopleThe Green Party of the Canary Islands (Verdes-Equo) has reached an electoral agreement with Unidad del Pueblo Canario, the left-wing front of which Nueva Canarias and Podemos are a part, for the upcoming elections on November 29, because… - More than 4,000 migrants reach the Canary Islands in two months as boats from Morocco increaseBetween August 16 and October 15, 4,162 migrants reached the Canary Islands by boat, marking a surge in departures from the Moroccan coast, according to a report by Spain’s Interior Ministry. The average daily arrivals rose sharply from 21…
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More than 704,000 people at risk of poverty in the Canary Islands: impossible to face unforeseen events or change furnitureMore than 704,000 people residing in the Canary Islands are at risk of poverty or social exclusion. The archipelago is the fourth Spanish autonomous community with the highest percentage of impoverished population. This is revealed by the… -
Canary Islands Parliament Approves New Teaching Authority Law with PSOE and NC-bc AbstainingThe Canary Islands Parliament has approved a new law aimed at strengthening the authority of teachers, with support from the ruling coalition (CC, PP, AG, and AHI) and Vox, while PSOE and NC-bc abstained from the vote. The law will provide… -
Canary Islands Government Unveils €13.209 Billion Budget, Increasing by 5.7% to Enhance Public Services and HousingCanary Islands Government Unveils €13.2 Billion Budget for 2027 The President of the Canary Islands, Fernando Clavijo, revealed on Tuesday a €13.2 billion budget for 2027 focused on housing, health, education, and social affairs. This… -
26,332 Canary Islands workers live in poverty due to housing costsAccording to a report by Oxfam Intermón, mortgage or rent payments force 26,332 workers in the Canary Islands into poverty every month, despite having a stable income from their jobs. On Monday, this NGO published the report ‚When working… -
Astrid Pérez Associates Her €9,000 Trip to Japan with Her Role as CALRE PresidentAstrid Pérez, the President of the Canary Islands Parliament, has defended her recent trip to Japan, which cost over £7,800, stating it was part of her duties with the Conference of Regional Legislative Assemblies of Europe (CALRE). In a… -
Gustavo González (PP) states that Canary Islanders aiming to “end sanchismo” should not rely on CC.Gustavo González de Vega, the lead candidate for the Partido Popular (PP) in Santa Cruz de Tenerife, has said that any Canary Islanders wishing to “end Sanchismo” can no longer rely on the nationalist party Coalición Canaria (CC) after… -
EU-Latin America: parliamentary dialogue in the face of global instabilityThis article is brought to you in association with the European Parliament. Next week, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife, EU and Latin American parliamentarians will assess the bilateral relationship and future challenges, in a context of growing… -
At Least 852 Migrants Dead or Missing in Three Months, EU Rights Agency ReportsThe agency’s migration bulletin, published on 22 October, draws on International Organization for Migration data and examines the protection of people travelling through the Mediterranean and along the Atlantic route towards the Canary…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions