Bulgarian presidential election first round: voter turnout (Oct 25, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $1 traded · $1 at stake · prices read 10 h ago

The odds

27%At least 2,500,000

2.30M2.90M

How the odds have moved

At least 2,500,000: 31% on Oct 19, 27% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
At least 2,500,000	27%			99¢	$1.01	2.00
At least 2,700,000	3%			75¢	$1.33	10.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Bulgarian

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Presidential race in Bulgaria heads to runoff due to record low turnoutCNN · 18 h agoThe presidential election in Bulgaria on Sunday ended inconclusively, with the next head of state to be picked in a runoff, according to election officials. A record low turnout, attributed by observers to a general mistrust in politicians…
Bulgaria holds a presidential election dominated by economic hardship and the Ukraine warNBC News · 28 h agoBulgarians headed to the polls on Sunday to elect their next president in a campaign centered on growing economic hardship and drone attacks on Black Sea shipping. The vote will also be the first major test for the Moscow-friendly…
Bulgaria will vote for president as Ukraine and Black Sea drone attacks dominate campaignThe Washington Post · 3 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Bulgarians will vote…
Bulgarians vote to elect new president@pmnewsnigeria · 25 h agoBREAKING: Jigawa signs $10m deal with Indian firm to build modern hatchery Bulgarians on Sunday began voting to elect a new president, with 27 candidates contesting for the country’s top office. According to the country’s Central Election…
Bulgaria's presidential election heads to run-offYahoo News · 27 h agoBulgarian President Iliana Iotova came out on top in Sunday's presidential election but fell short of an outright majority, according to exit polls, setting the stage for a run-off against pro-Western challenger Andrey Gyurov. Surveys by…
Presidential race in Bulgaria heads to runoff voteThe West Australian · 22 h agoThe West Australian is a leading news source in Perth and WA. Breaking local and world news from sport and business to lifestyle and current affairs. The presidential election in Bulgaria has ended inconclusively, with the next head of…
Bulgarians Vote for President as Black Sea Drone Strikes EscalateKyiv Post · 27 h agoBulgarians are voting in presidential elections on Sunday as Russia’s war in Ukraine spreads to the waters off Bulgaria’s Black Sea coast. Polls place acting President Iliana Iotova, 61, and ex-caretaker prime minister Andrey Gyurov, 50…
Ukraine war divides Bulgaria as voters elect presidentYahoo News · 37 h agoBulgarians were voting in a presidential election on Sunday, as security concerns swirl following a series of drone attacks on ships in the Black Sea. Polling stations opened at 7:00 am local time (0500 GMT) and close at 8:00 pm. President…
Bulgaria votes in presidential election amid divisions over Ukraine warintellinews.com · 28 h agoRussia's central bank holds key rate at 14%, raises inflation forecast Missile War Monitor: Oryol strike toll rises to three as Kyiv claims hit on Proton-Electrotex plant Missile War Monitor: Oryol missile strike injures eight; channels…
TRT World - Bulgaria's presidential election heads to November 1 runoffTRT World · 23 h agoBulgaria's presidential election will proceed to a runoff, as no candidate ticket secured more than 50 percent of the vote. According to unofficial results from polling agency Alpha Research released by Bulgarian National Television (BNT)…
Bulgaria votes for president as concerns grow over Black Sea attacksThe Manila Times · 25 h agoSOFIA, Bulgaria — Bulgarians will vote in a presidential election on Sunday as security concerns swirl following a series of drone attacks on ships in the Black Sea. President Iliana Iotova, who favors dialogue with Moscow and opposes…
Bulgaria holds presidential election dominated by economic hardship, Ukraine warNews18 · 34 h agoThe vote will also be the first major test for the Moscow-friendly Progressive Bulgaria party of Prime Minister Rumen Radev after its triumph in parliamentary elections in April. Despite a record number of candidates, the race is expected…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCentral Election Commission of Bulgaria

Trading closesJan 1, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$1 (12 contracts)

This week$1

At stake$1

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If at least 1,900,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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