Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win? (Oct 25, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 25, 2027 · $579 today · $6.4K traded · $3.7K at stake · prices read 28 min ago

The odds

79%Mexico
  • Mexico79%▲ 3
  • Colombia70%▼ 2
  • Costa Rica39%▼ 6
  • Uruguay35%▲ 6
  • Chile26%▼ 4

How the odds have moved

Mexico: 79% on Oct 20, 79% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Mexico 79% ▲ 3 14¢ 79¢ $1.27 3.6K
Colombia 70% ▼ 2 9¢ 70¢ $1.43 3.4K
Costa Rica 39% ▼ 6 4¢ 92¢ $1.09 533
Uruguay 35% ▲ 6 6¢ 91¢ $1.10 1.5K
Chile 26% ▼ 4 4¢ 34¢ $2.94 1.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Flávio Bolsonaro, Brazil, Costa Rica

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Elections › Around the world

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions