When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved? (Before 2032)

Kalshi Tech Closes Jan 7, 2032 · $209 traded · $153 at stake · prices read 5 h ago

The odds

71%Before 2032
  • Before 203271%
  • Before 203164%
  • Before 203056%
  • Before 202949%
  • Before 202839%
  • Before 20278%

How the odds have moved

Before 2032: 70% on Oct 19, 71% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before 2032 71% 66¢ 75¢ $1.33 25.00
Before 2031 64% 59¢ 68¢ $1.47 20.00
Before 2030 56% 52¢ 61¢ $1.64
Before 2029 49% 44¢ 53¢ $1.89
Before 2028 39% 34¢ 43¢ $2.33 220
Before 2027 8% 7¢ 8¢ $12.50 1.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer

Search ›
  • What's the Hardest Math Problem in the World? 9 Head-scratchersHowStuffWorks · 13 days agoThere’s no officially ranked hardest math problem in the world. These nine challenges show why: An equation can look simple yet resist a mathematical proof for centuries. A conjecture is a claim awaiting proof. Like Hilbert’s problems…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions