María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
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When will Biden release his presidential memoir?
The odds
94%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202794%
- Before Apr 1, 202797%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 95% on Oct 20, 94% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 3.2K | |||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 94% | 90¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 2.2K | |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 554 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Joe Biden
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Map Shows Where Donald Trump Is Expanding a Joe Biden-Era Medicaid PolicyOct 23, 2026 at 04:45 PM EDT President Donald Trump's administration is expanding a Medicaid initiative developed during the Biden administration that allows states to provide certain health care services to incarcerated people shortly… -
Ilhan Omar Retains Joe Biden’s Personal Attorney As Immigration Probe WidensRep. Ilhan Omar has hired two veteran Washington attorneys with extensive experience in politically sensitive investigations as federal authorities examine whether the Minnesota Democrat or members of her family made false statements on… -
Ilhan Omar hires Joe Biden's pricey personal attorney days after begging supporters for cash to pay her legal feesEmbattled Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar has enlisted former President Joe Biden's personal attorney to help fight a mounting federal investigation into her finances and immigration history. The Minnesota congresswoman has assembled a… -
Joe Biden, Emgage and the muzzling of Muslim AmericaWhat if he wins again? As early voting gets underway in what has ceremoniously been dubbed the most important election in recent memory, liberal talk show hosts, mainstream newspaper columnists, and social media influencers are lamenting… - WHO IS HIDING SENATOR ELISSA SLOTKIN’S SECRET WORK WITH JOE BIDEN’S UKRAINIAN CRIME SYNDICATE?It’s time to fully investigate Michigan Senator Elissa Slotkin for her hidden role in the ongoing conspiracy by Democrat operatives to cover for the crimes Joe Biden committed in Ukraine during his vice presidency. And that conspiracy is…
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Creep in Joe Biden mask terrifies Texas family by eating banana at their front door in the darkA Texas family was left terrified after their doorbell camera captured a man in a Joe Biden mask standing at their front door at night eating a banana. The “scary” encounter unfolded around 8 p.m. Sunday at the family’s home in Watauga… -
WATCH: Joe Biden mask wearer turns up at Texas door for bizarre banana snackFox News WATCH: Joe Biden mask wearer turns up at Texas door for bizarre banana snack Doorbell video shows a barefoot visitor in a Joe Biden mask and “FREEDOM” shirt eating a banana outside a Texas home (Credit: Jessica Mancia). -
Joe Biden Appears in Good Spirits While Sharing Dinner and Ice Cream With Daughter Ashley Amid 'Painful' Cancer Battle: PhotoAshley Biden and Joe Biden grinned after sharing dinner. Oct. 22 2026, Published 1:25 p.m. ET Joe Biden and his daughter, Ashley, took an ice cream break amid his cancer battle. Ashley uploaded an Instagram Story posing with her… -
Melania’s Distressed Reaction To Trump’s Rally Antics Revealed After He Attempted To Mock Ex-President Joe BidenDonald Trump has revealed that his wife, Melania Trump, was “worried” about him, mistaking that he wasn’t well when he tried to mimic his predecessor, Joe Biden, on stage. The US president also admitted that the first lady strongly… -
Joe Biden Thinks Coal Miners Should Learn to Code. A Real Just Transition Demands Far More.While coal miners aren’t the only workers in our society, coal miners’ voices do matter, and we can’t leave anyone behind. And it’s clear that they are hurting, a point illustrated by the coal miners currently blocking a train carrying… - Kansas Senate Debate Stuns Voters as Republican Roger Marshall Breaks With Donald Trump and Democrat Adam Hamilton Denounces Joe BidenThe final Kansas Senate debate delivered an astonishing political spectacle when incumbent Republican Senator Roger Marshall broke ranks with Donald Trump on trade and immigration, while Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton labelled former…
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Bizarre doorbell video shows random person eating banana through Joe Biden maskPolice say this mask-wearing, banana-eating random person who appeared in a bizarre Texas doorbell camera video committed no crimes. Police in a Texas town say they’re aware of a bizarre doorbell video that shows a random person walk up to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions