Brazil Presidential Election
80%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro80%▼ 3
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva20%▲ 3
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Who will be British Columbia's Premier after the election? (Before Oct 24, 2027)
The odds
95%Lorne Doerkson
- Lorne Doerkson95%▲ 6
- David Eby4%▼ 5
- John Rustad<1%
- Emily Lowan<1%
- Dallas Brodie<1%
- Niki Sharma<1%
- Brenda Bailey<1%
How the odds have moved
Lorne Doerkson: 73% on Oct 20, 95% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETLorne Doerkson: 81% → 87%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorne Doerkson | 95% | ▲ 6 | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 12.3K |
| David Eby | 4% | ▼ 5 | 9¢ | $11.11 | 7.3K | |
| John Rustad | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 216 | ||
| Emily Lowan | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 218 | ||
| Dallas Brodie | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 216 | ||
| Niki Sharma | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 216 | ||
| Brenda Bailey | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 216 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: British Columbia's Premier, Lorne Doerkson, David Eby
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Lorne Doerkson set to become Canada’s most unlikely premierLittle more than a month ago, Lorne Doerkson was a little-known B.C. Conservative MLA who had shown no indication he was aspiring to provincial leadership. By tomorrow, he could be on his way to be the 38th premier of British Columbia. For… -
British Columbians vote in early election, with David Eby's job on the lineModerator Shachi Kurl, from left to right, B.C. Green Party Leader Emily Lowan, B.C. NDP Leader David Eby and B.C. Conservative interim Leader Lorne Doerkson stand together after the televised B.C. Leaders' Debate ahead of the provincial… -
Inside the BC NDP bus for the last stretch of David Eby's campaignOn the last day before the provincial election, David Eby made a final attempt to earn votes that he now desperately needs to win the election he called just weeks ago. At a media availability outside the Surrey Fleetwood campaign office… - Vaughn Palmer: Can Lorne Doerkson keep B.C. Conservatives, with their history of infighting, united?Opinion: 'Nice guy' leader has run a successful campaign, but it's another thing to hold a party together for four years VICTORIA — NDP leader David Eby was midway through the news conference to launch the election last month when he got…
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Leader profile: B.C. Conservatives’ Lorne Doerkson says he’s ‘completely in the zone’He rides a motorbike, used to rodeo, and now he’s steering his way through a snap election campaign as leader of the B.C. Conservatives. It wasn’t that long ago that Lorne Doerkson was a relatively low-profile MLA representing… -
David Eby’s misbegotten election is a generational opportunity for B.C. conservativesB.C. NDP Leader David Eby and B.C. Conservative interim Leader Lorne Doerkson during the B.C. Leaders’ Debate in Vancouver, Oct. 14, 2026. Darryl Dyck/The Canadian Press. David Eby wanted British Columbians to vote against Donald Trump on… - Adam Pankratz: David Eby thought this would be easyCalling an election two years early is about to backfire spectacularly on the NDP leader A satirical twist on John F Kennedy’s immortal speech about going to the moon which can be found on posters and signs nowadays is “We do not do this…
- FIRST READING: Olivia Chow and David Eby seem to be spinning out in the same wayBoth NDP-aligned incumbents entered elections they assumed would be easy, and are now turning to fear tactics Right now, two left-wing campaigns in different regions of the country appear to be flaming out in similar ways. Both are NDP or…
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David Eby’s Secrecy on Indigenous Land Deals Has Failed British Columbians and Set Back ReconciliationBy Elbert King Paul, CPA CA “The question of what remains of Aboriginal title after the granting of fee simple title to the same lands should be reversed. The proper question is: what remains of fee simple title after Aboriginal title is… -
David Eby’s plan will strengthen health care for seniorsDavid Eby's plan for seniors includes free shingles vaccines for 50+, 500 new home care workers, and more long-term care beds. Funded by asking the wealthiest to chip in. See the details. BC NDP to ask wealthiest to chip in a bit more so… - Vaughn Palmer: David Eby's hidden agenda on display when he persuaded a court to lock in Haida Aboriginal titleOpinion: It was a move made last year so that any future Conservative government couldn't touch it VICTORIA — With election day approaching, it is worth recalling the extraordinary step that Premier David Eby took last year to preclude one…
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UBCIC calls for removal of Conservative candidateAs the United Association of Muslims and the BC Muslim Association call for the removal of Katy Merrifield as Conservative campaign director, the Union of BC Indian Chiefs is calling for the removal of a Conservative candidate. UBCIC…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions