Brazil Presidential Election
80%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro80%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva20%▲ 1
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British Columbia election: NDP number of seats? (Oct 24, 2026)
The odds
8%32 or more
2762
How the odds have moved
32 or more: 86% on Oct 20, 8% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Oct 25, 12 AM ET32 or more: 79% → 8%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 or more | 8% | ▼ 73 | 3¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 210 |
| 37 or more | 8% | ▼ 20 | 88¢ | $1.14 | 239 | |
| 42 or more | 8% | ▼ 26 | 2¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 2.3K |
| 47 or more | 2% | ▼ 10 | 1¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 3.9K |
| 52 or more | 2% | ▼ 8 | 12¢ | $8.33 | 1.1K | |
| 57 or more | 2% | ▼ 4 | 88¢ | $1.14 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: British Columbia
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Counting begins as polls close in British Columbia’s snap electionModerator Shachi Kurl, from left to right, B.C. Green Party Leader Emily Lowan, B.C. NDP Leader David Eby and B.C. Conservative interim Leader Lorne Doerkson stand together after the televised B.C. Leaders’ Debate ahead of the provincial… - B.C. Election: Polls are now closed across British ColumbiaWatch live B.C. election coverage on CityNews 24/7 By News Staff and Emma Crawford Posted October 24, 2026 6:00 am. Polls are now closed across British Columbia as the snap provincial election called one month ago nears its end. British…
- British Columbia voters go to the polls amid deep disaffection with the political establishmentEby called a “snap” election hoping, on the one hand, to exploit popular opposition to Trump–he is appealing for a “mandate” to fight the US president’s tariffs and threats to annex Canada–and, on the other, the bitter divisions within the…
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British Columbia Is Giving Away Public Land Behind Closed DoorsBritish Columbia Premier David Eby has been caught in yet another controversy involving the transfer of public land to First Nations, and the public apparently was not supposed to know what was being negotiated. Confidential government… -
Scottish Greens call on Swinney to stop 'swithering' on oil and gasThe leaders of the Scottish Green Party have condemned the UK and Scottish government's positions on new oil and gas drilling. Speaking at the party's conference in Inverness, co-leader Gillian Mackay criticised Prime Minister Andy Burnham… -
2 Indo-Canadians elected as mayors in British ColumbiaToronto, Oct 19 (PTI) Two Indo-Canadian leaders have been elected mayors after municipal election results were declared in Canada’s British Columbia. British Columbia residents voted on Saturday in the 2026 municipal election. General… -
Harshan Ramadass elected Fernie mayor in British ColumbiaTwo Indo-Canadian leaders have been elected mayors in British Columbia following municipal elections in the Canadian province, news agency Press Trust of India reported. India-born Harshan Ramadass won the mayoral election in Fernie, while… -
Two Indo-Canadian Leaders Elected Mayors in British ColumbiaIndia-born Harshan Ramadass wins Fernie mayoral race, while Surinderpal Rathor secures a second term in Williams Lake. Two Indo-Canadian leaders have been elected mayors after municipal election results were declared in Canada's British… -
Quebec-based aluminum company lands on Time’s best inventions listWhile manufacturing is a major part of Canada's economy, the industry is also known for its carbon footprint. But a Montreal-based company may be on the verge of a breakthrough. It has landed on Time magazine's list of the best inventions… -
Inside the BC NDP bus for the last stretch of David Eby's campaignOn the last day before the provincial election, David Eby made a final attempt to earn votes that he now desperately needs to win the election he called just weeks ago. At a media availability outside the Surrey Fleetwood campaign office… -
B.C. election latest: Voters go to the polls to decide next provincial governmentVANCOUVER - British Columbia is voting on its next government as the snap provincial election called one month ago reaches its culmination. Here’s a look at the latest from polling stations and campaign headquarters of each major party as… -
CP NewsAlert: B.C. Conservative leader Doerkson retains riding of Cariboo-ChilcotinB.C. Conservative interim Leader Lorne Doerkson arrives during a provincial election campaign stop in Vancouver, on Friday, Oct. 23, 2026. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Ethan Cairns The Canadian Press decision desk is projecting that interim British…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.