Brazil Presidential Election
83%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro83%▲ 6
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva17%▼ 6
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British Columbia general election winner? (2026)
The odds
90%BC Conservatives
- BC Conservatives90%▲ 1
- BC NDP9%▼ 1
- BC Greens<1%
- CentreBC<1%
- OneBC<1%
How the odds have moved
BC Conservatives: 84% on Oct 20, 90% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Conservatives | 90% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 6.1K |
| BC NDP | 9% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 8.5K |
| BC Greens | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 | ||
| CentreBC | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 536 | ||
| OneBC | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: British Columbia, BC Conservatives, BC NDP
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What BC NDP and BC Conservatives say they’ll do for SURREYBOTH the BC NDP and the BC Conservatives are desperately trying to woo as many Surrey voters as they can in the final stretch of the provincial election. Here we present what they announced on Thursday. BC NDP Leader David Eby spent the… -
BC Conservatives Pledge Economic Development Support for Cannabis RegulationsThe Conservative Party of British Columbia says it will ensure the province’s liquor, cannabis, wine, and beer regulations support economic development. The party plans to move the file to the Ministry of Economic Development and will… -
Where the BC NDP, Conservatives, and Greens stand on extending SkyTrain to UBCThe planned extension would continue the Millennium Line west from Arbutus Street to the university. It would follow the Broadway extension, which is currently under construction between the existing VCC-Clark Station and the new Arbutus… -
BC Conservatives File Complaint With Elections Agency Alleging NDP Sent ‘Misleading’ LetterThe BC Conservatives have filed a complaint with Elections BC, saying a letter the NDP mailed contained misinformation and could confuse voters about whether it is official government literature. The letter was dated Oct. 16 and was signed… -
BC NDP Versus BC Conservatives: Promises on 7 Key Issues Ahead of the VoteThe campaign has seen the two sides clash on various issues, with the NDP focusing on U.S. President Donald Trump’s presidency and the changes facing Canada, while the Conservatives have focused on economic issues. The Conservatives have… -
Poll shows BC NDP trailing in home stretch of provincial electionPosted October 22, 2026 7:29 am. As the clock winds down on B.C.’s provincial election campaign, party leaders packed in the stops. David Eby set the pace, making six different appearances south of the Fraser. “This election is far from… -
Lowan says a BC Conservative government would be disastrous for provinceBC Green Leader Emily Lowan, reacting to the BC NDP’s claim that the BC Greens would form a minority government should the Conservatives be elected, said: “Let me be clear: a Conservative government would be disastrous for this province.”… -
Kootenay-Monashee: BC NDP candidate Steve MorissettePublished 2:00 pm Thursday, October 22, 2026 As the BC election approaches, the Trail Times asked Kootenay-Monashee candidates a key question: What is the most important issue you want to impress upon your constituents? The four candidates… -
BC NDP will work with Surrey to build SkyTrain extension to NewtonSURREY – A re-elected BC NDP government will support the development of a SkyTrain extension to Newton along the King George Boulevard corridor. "Surrey voters have spoken clearly: They want us to get results for them, which includes… -
BC NDP will protect consumers from unfair pricingA re-elected BC NDP government will protect people from gouging and unfair pricing tactics big corporations use to extract maximum profit from consumers. New measures include banning ticket scalping, expanding Consumer Protection BC's… -
Will Cole-Hamilton running for BC NDP in Courtenay-ComoxWill Cole-Hamilton, the BC NDP candidate in Courtenay-Comox, is hoping to bring his municipal government experience to provincial politics. Cole-Hamilton has served two terms on Courtenay city council and was chair of the Comox Valley… -
Statistical tie: BC Conservatives 46%, BC NDP 43%THE B.C. Conservatives hold a narrow three-point lead over the B.C. NDP, 46 per cent to 43 per cent, a margin that amounts to a statistical tie after the New Democrats clawed back support following a rocky start to the campaign, according…
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44%Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%44%▲ 13
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%35%▼ 7
- Lula da Silva <4%14%▼ 6
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- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+1%▼ 1
- Lula da Silva 4-8%<1%
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Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
71%Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia71%▲ 1
- Student List – Students Win29%▼ 1
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
- Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
- Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
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Next French Presidential Election
46%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen46%▼ 1
- Édouard Philippe16%
- David Lisnard13%▼ 1
42 more
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%
- Raphaël Glucksmann4%
- François Hollande2%
- Bruno Retailleau1%▲ 1
- Gabriel Attal1%
- Éric Zemmour1%
- Jordan Bardella1%
- Sarah Knafo1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Christine Lagarde<1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
- Xavier Bertrand<1%
- Marion Maréchal<1%
- Natacha Polony<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
- François Asselineau<1%
- Jean Castex<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
- Mathilde Panot<1%
- Juan Branco<1%
- Clémence Guetté<1%
- Karim Bouamrane<1%
- Lucie Castets<1%
- Yannick Jadot<1%
- François Baroin<1%
- Anasse Kazib<1%
- Sylvain Durif<1%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
71%Yashar
- Yashar71%▲ 2
- Likud28%▼ 2
- Together<1%
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Brazil Presidential election winner?
83%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro83%▲ 7
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva18%▼ 7
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.