Brazil Presidential Election
82%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro82%▼ 2
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva18%▲ 2
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Who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
The odds
64%Lorne Doerkson
- Lorne Doerkson64%▲ 1
- Aaron Gunn10%▼ 1
- Caroline Elliott8%▼ 2
- Iain Black4%▼ 1
- Claire Rattée3%▼ 1
- Yuri Fulmer3%
- Stockwell Day2%
- Chip Wilson2%
- Sheldon Clare2%
- Harman Bhangu2%
- Steve Kooner2%
How the odds have moved
Lorne Doerkson: 60% on Oct 20, 64% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorne Doerkson | 64% | ▲ 1 | 15¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 6.1K |
| Aaron Gunn | 10% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 103 |
| Caroline Elliott | 8% | ▼ 2 | 4¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 1.1K |
| Iain Black | 4% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 3.1K |
| Claire Rattée | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 491 |
| Yuri Fulmer | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 492 | |
| Stockwell Day | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 282 | |
| Chip Wilson | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 332 | |
| Sheldon Clare | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 104 | |
| Harman Bhangu | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 84.00 | |
| Steve Kooner | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 252 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Conservative Party of British Columbia, Lorne Doerkson, Aaron Gunn
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Conservatives win B.C. election, with Lorne Doerkson to be premierVANCOUVER - The Canadian Press decision desk is projecting the Conservative Party of British Columbia will form government in the province. Lorne Doerkson is set to become premier just five weeks after assuming the interim leadership of a… -
B.C. Conservatives win majority government, Lorne Doerkson set to become next premierPosted October 24, 2026 10:00 pm. The resurrection of the Conservative Party in British Columbia is complete. B.C. Conservative interim Leader Lorne Doerkson led the party to a resounding victory over incumbent David Eby and the BC NDP in… -
Lorne Doerkson leads B.C. Conservatives to power with thumping two-thirds majorityBritish Columbia has turned blue, electing a B.C. Conservative government with an overwhelming two-thirds majority. Premier-designate Lorne Doerkson says he'll follow through on campaign promises to supercharge the province's economy… -
Meet Lorne Doerkson, ‘guy from Williams Lake’ and B.C.‘s next premierB.C. Conservative interim Leader Lorne Doerkson arrives during a provincial election campaign stop in Vancouver, on Friday, Oct. 23, 2026. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Ethan Cairns VANCOUVER - British Columbians got their best look so far at Lorne… -
Lorne Doerkson set to become Canada’s most unlikely premierLittle more than a month ago, Lorne Doerkson was a little-known B.C. Conservative MLA who had shown no indication he was aspiring to provincial leadership. By tomorrow, he could be on his way to be the 38th premier of British Columbia. For… -
Cariboo-Chilcotin MLA Lorne Doerkson on track to win re-election for third time in a rowPublished 9:18 pm Saturday, October 24, 2026 By Patrick Davies/100 Mile Free Press Lorne Doerkson has been sent back to Victoria for the third time by the voters of the Cariboo Chilcotin. Based on preliminary polls Doerkson, the incumbent… -
Leader profile: B.C. Conservatives’ Lorne Doerkson says he’s ‘completely in the zone’He rides a motorbike, used to rodeo, and now he’s steering his way through a snap election campaign as leader of the B.C. Conservatives. It wasn’t that long ago that Lorne Doerkson was a relatively low-profile MLA representing… - Amy Hamm: B.C.'s new rockstar premier Lorne Doerkson promises to protect property rightsVANCOUVER — “I want our sons and daughters to grow up in a B.C. that is the envy of the world,” newly-elected B.C. Premier Lorne Doerkson emphatically told an ecstatic, screaming crowd at the Rocky Mountaineer Station in Vancouver Saturday…
- Vaughn Palmer: Can Lorne Doerkson keep B.C. Conservatives, with their history of infighting, united?Opinion: 'Nice guy' leader has run a successful campaign, but it's another thing to hold a party together for four years VICTORIA — NDP leader David Eby was midway through the news conference to launch the election last month when he got…
- B.C. Conservatives projected to form majority governmentPosted Oct 25, 2026 12:00:39 AM. The resurrection of the Conservative Party in B.C. is complete. B.C. Conservative interim leader Lorne Doerkson defeated incumbent David Eby and the BC NDP in Saturday’s provincial election, CityNews is…
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Inside the BC NDP bus for the last stretch of David Eby's campaignOn the last day before the provincial election, David Eby made a final attempt to earn votes that he now desperately needs to win the election he called just weeks ago. At a media availability outside the Surrey Fleetwood campaign office… - B.C. election latest: Results coming in after polls closeVANCOUVER - Counting is underway in British Columbia's snap election after polls closed. Here's a look at the election night latest as votes are tallied across B.C. All times are local. The Canadian Press decision desk is projecting that…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions