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British Columbia general election: 2nd place (Oct 24, 2026)
The odds
98%BC NDP
- BC NDP98%▲ 7
- BC Conservatives1%▼ 5
- BC Greens1%
- OneBC1%
- CentreBC1%
How the odds have moved
BC NDP: 84% on Oct 20, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 25, 9 AM ETBC NDP: 89% → 98%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETBC NDP: 79% → 86%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC NDP | 98% | ▲ 7 | 97¢ | $1.03 | 1.7K | |
| BC Conservatives | 1% | ▼ 5 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.2K | |
| BC Greens | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 4.7K | ||
| OneBC | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 4.7K | ||
| CentreBC | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: British Columbia, BC NDP, BC Conservatives
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What BC NDP and BC Conservatives say they’ll do for SURREYBOTH the BC NDP and the BC Conservatives are desperately trying to woo as many Surrey voters as they can in the final stretch of the provincial election. Here we present what they announced on Thursday. BC NDP Leader David Eby spent the… -
British Columbia Election: Eby’s Snap Election Gamble Ends Nine Years Of NDP Rule As Conservatives Win First Majority In Nearly A CenturyDavid Eby called the election. David Eby lost the election. And within hours of the polls closing on Saturday night, David Eby resigned as leader of the party he had led into one of the most catastrophic miscalculations in British… -
BC Conservatives Projected to Win Majority Government in Dramatic Election ShiftHome » Trending » BC Conservatives Projected to Win Majority Government in Dramatic Election Shift In a significant political transformation for British Columbia, the BC Conservative Party, under the leadership of Lorne Doerkson, is… -
B.C. Votes 2026: BC Conservative Pavneet Singh wins Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream ridingPublished 10:49 pm Saturday, October 24, 2026 By Ty Lim/Kelowna Capital News Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream has a new MLA, as the BC Conservatives’ Pavneet Singh has been elected. Singh beat out BC NDP candidate Binny Boparai, Green… -
Where the BC NDP, Conservatives, and Greens stand on extending SkyTrain to UBCThe planned extension would continue the Millennium Line west from Arbutus Street to the university. It would follow the Broadway extension, which is currently under construction between the existing VCC-Clark Station and the new Arbutus… -
Inside the BC NDP bus for the last stretch of David Eby's campaignOn the last day before the provincial election, David Eby made a final attempt to earn votes that he now desperately needs to win the election he called just weeks ago. At a media availability outside the Surrey Fleetwood campaign office… -
BC Conservatives File Complaint With Elections Agency Alleging NDP Sent ‘Misleading’ LetterThe BC Conservatives have filed a complaint with Elections BC, saying a letter the NDP mailed contained misinformation and could confuse voters about whether it is official government literature. The letter was dated Oct. 16 and was signed… -
BC Conservatives projected to form majority government in 2026 election@Atni-liberal What a surprise you don’t know the difference between “then” and “than”. Oh look! It’s Eby’s 10$ a day daycare children. The LPC/CCP Coalition will keep Eby in. His leftist insanity is exactly what they need to keep Canada on… -
BC Conservatives Pledge Economic Development Support for Cannabis RegulationsThe Conservative Party of British Columbia says it will ensure the province’s liquor, cannabis, wine, and beer regulations support economic development. The party plans to move the file to the Ministry of Economic Development and will… -
BC NDP Leader David Eby wins Vancouver-Point Grey, loses electionThe Canadian Press decision desk is projecting that British Columbia NDP Leader David Eby has been re-elected in his riding of Vancouver-Point Grey, but his party has lost the election to the B.C. Conservative Party. Eby has held the… -
CP NewsAlert: BC NDP Leader David Eby wins Vancouver-Point Grey, loses electionB.C. NDP Leader David Eby speaks during a campaign stop, in Surrey, B.C., on Friday, Oct. 23, 2026. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Darryl Dyck VANCOUVER - The Canadian Press decision desk is projecting that British Columbia NDP Leader David Eby has… -
Poll shows BC NDP trailing in home stretch of provincial electionPosted October 22, 2026 7:29 am. As the clock winds down on B.C.’s provincial election campaign, party leaders packed in the stops. David Eby set the pace, making six different appearances south of the Fraser. “This election is far from…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions