Bangsamoro Chief Minister election winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 30, 2027 · prices read 7 h ago

The odds

79%Abdulraof Macacua
  • Abdulraof Macacua79%
  • Murad Ebrahim21%

How the odds have moved

Abdulraof Macacua: 79% on Oct 19, 79% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Abdulraof Macacua 79% 75¢ 83¢ $1.20
Murad Ebrahim 21% 17¢ 25¢ $4.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Bangsamoro Chief Minister, Abdulraof Macacua, Murad Ebrahim

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  • Al Haj Murad Ebrahim urges accountability, better public services as Bangsamoro enters elected-parliament eraYeni Şafak English · 4 days agoAl Haj Murad Ebrahim has called on newly elected members of the Bangsamoro Parliament to prioritize accountable governance, social services and the welfare of marginalized communities, saying the gains of the Bangsamoro peace process must…
  • Only 25 attend Murad party oath-taking as rival claims 46-member blocRAPPLER · 3 days agoMURAD'S MESSAGE. MILF chairman and former BARMM interim chief minister Ahod 'Al Haj Murad' Ebrahim delivers keynotes the oath-taking ceremony of lawmakers-elect on Wednesday, Octoober 21, 2026. COTABATO CITY, Philippines – The numbers were…
  • Bangsamoro groups press Marcos, Murad to advance peace dealMindanao Gold Star Daily · 3 days agoMARAWI City — With the first elected Bangsamoro Parliament set to assume office on Oct. 30, religious leaders, civil society groups and community representatives are urging President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. to meet with Moro Islamic…
  • Malaysia pushes for ASEAN action on transnational crimeYeni Şafak English · 3 days agoSaifuddin said cooperation among ASEAN members should extend beyond formal negotiations to strengthen relationships between officials, Bernama reported. He made the comments in a Facebook post following a gala dinner marking the meeting's…
  • Turkish president, Bulgarian premier discuss ties, Black Sea securityYeni Şafak English · 3 days agoThe Turkish president extended an invitation to Radev to attend the COP31 Leaders' Summit scheduled for November 11-12 in Antalya, seeking to reinforce Ankara's role in hosting major international gatherings. The climate conference is…
  • Turkish parliament speaker welcomes Libya's approval of maritime deal with TürkiyeYeni Şafak English · 3 days agoKurtulmus stressed that Türkiye had worked actively from the outset to promote stability in Libya, noting that the parliament's approval reinforced bonds of friendship between the two nations. He reaffirmed Ankara's support for UN efforts…
  • Türkiye eyes joint production projects with Qatar, Pakistan, IndonesiaYeni Şafak English · 3 days agoTurkish president invites Azerbaijani president to Turkic States summit in Ankara Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan invited Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev to the Organization of Turkic States summit in Ankara during a phone call…
  • Turkish president invites Azerbaijani president to Turkic States summit in AnkaraYeni Şafak English · 3 days agoErdogan said Ankara and Baku would strengthen their cooperation by drawing on bonds of brotherhood, the directorate said on X. The leaders exchanged views on global developments. Erdogan congratulated Aliyev on the 35th anniversary of…
  • Türkiye, Qatar, Pakistan, Indonesia sign defense pactYeni Şafak English · 4 days agoTürkiye's Defense Industries Secretariat announced on Monday that Ankara will sign a memorandum of understanding with Qatar, Pakistan and Indonesia in Doha to establish a multilateral framework for joint defense production and technology…
  • Türkiye defense minister meets Qatari counterpart in DohaYeni Şafak English · 4 days agoDefense Minister Yaşar Güler met with Qatar's Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Saoud bin Abdulrahman Al Thani in Doha on Wednesday for talks on military cooperation and regional security, receiving a formal military welcome upon…
  • Pakistan army chief urges Iran to curb Houthi attacksYeni Şafak English · 4 days agoPakistan's army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir urged Iranian leaders during his visit to Tehran on Tuesday to use their influence to halt Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia, reiterating Islamabad's commitment to defend the kingdom under the…
  • Kenya confirms ninth Ebola case linked to single clusterYeni Şafak English · 4 days agoKenya's Health Director General Patrick Amoth on Tuesday confirmed a ninth Ebola infection in the country, bringing the total to nine cases including one death, as authorities emphasized all infections remain confined to a single cluster…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions