Brazil Presidential Election
79%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro79%▼ 5
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva21%▲ 5
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Australian Senate election winner? (2028)
The odds
71%Australian Labor Party
- Australian Labor Party71%
- Liberal-National Coalition13%
- One Nation5%
- Australian Greens3%
How the odds have moved
Australian Labor Party: 70% on Oct 19, 71% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Labor Party | 71% | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 169 | |
| Liberal-National Coalition | 13% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 1.4K | |
| One Nation | 5% | 0¢ | 10¢ | $10.42 | 385 | |
| Australian Greens | 3% | 0¢ | 5¢ | $18.52 | 60.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Australian Senate, Australian Labor Party, Liberal-National Coalition
Search ›-
Nationals leader Matt Canavan eyes move to lower house as pollster warns of One Nation wipeoutMichelle Landry announces she will not recontest her Queensland seat of Capricornia at the next election Get our new political email, free app or daily news podcast Matt Canavan could attempt a switch to the House of Representatives after… -
Choosing One Nation: disillusioned or just fed up?The West Australian is a leading news source in Perth and WA. Breaking local and world news from sport and business to lifestyle and current affairs. - ‘Give them a go’: Liberal candidate advises vote for One Nation in upper houseOctober 24, 2026 — 7:30pm A Liberal candidate in a key battleground seat has been caught out encouraging people to vote for One Nation in the upper house while campaigning in the electorate that is considered vulnerable to Pauline Hanson’s…
- Victoria election: Voters reveal what drives them to move from major parties to Pauline Hanson’s One NationOne Nation's rising popularity or declining support for the major parties? Residents in an ultra-marginal seat are calling for change. Julie Cincotta and Shaun Martindale are outside sipping coffee near a public works site at an…
- David Crisafulli rules out working with One Nation as youth crime still top priority after two years in officeDavid Crisafulli's LNP government has been in power in Queensland for two years. (ABC News) Queensland Premier David Crisafulli has categorically ruled out future negotiations with One Nation. In an interview marking two years of the LNP…
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One Nation To Have Access To Costing Alongside Major Parties In 2027 ElectionNSW Parliament has officially amended legislation to ensure One Nation will have access to the independent Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) for the March 2027 election. This means Pauline Hanson will be able to submit, alongside Labor… - Landry bows out, setting up Canavan showdown with One Nation in CapricorniaOctober 23, 2026 — 4:04pm Veteran Nationals MP Michelle Landry has announced her resignation from the Queensland seat of Capricornia, paving the way for Nationals’ leader Matt Canavan to move from the Senate to the lower house seat…
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Independent Costings Extended To One NationThe One Nation Party will have access to the independent Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) for the March 2027 election. The New South Wales Parliament has amended legislation that will see Labor, the Liberal & National parties and One… -
One Nation Outlines Small Business Vision for NSWWollongong-based online news outlet covering Australia and beyond. If you have anything newsworthy - a story, video or picture to share with us, please email us. Mike Newman is the only political leader in NSW with an understanding of… - MP’s expected resignation paves way for potential One Nation and Coalition contestUpdated October 23, 2026 - 12.32am. First published at 12.11am Capricornia MP Michelle Landry’s expected resignation on Friday has paved the way for a crucial One Nation and Coalition contest. Landry has held the central Queensland seat…
- From Haines to One Nation, the only exceptionalism left is negativeAFR Opinion | Michael Stutchbury With the nation’s economic, political, cultural and civil exceptionalism shattered, major effort is needed to prevent Kevin Rudd’s warning of a “second-rate country” coming true. Two decades ago, the…
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New WA One Nation MP Luke Herdegen echoes Pauline Hanson’s warning about Australia being ‘swamped’ by migrantsOne Nation MP Luke Herdegen has unleashed on the major parties, using his inaugural speech to accuse Labor of treating voters like fools and vowing that he intends to govern. One Nation MP Luke Herdegen has unleashed on the major political…
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79%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro79%▼ 5
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva22%▲ 5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions