Anthropic share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)
35.9%median
29.1%40.9%
Median 35.9%
Install
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 26, 2026 (Vercel)
The odds
39.81%median
28%42.9%
Median 39.81%Middle half 38.46% – 41.15%
How the odds have moved
Median: 35.75% on Oct 23, 39.81% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 29.9% | 98% | ▲ 11 | 95¢ | $1.02 | 6.7K | |
| Above 31.8% | 98% | ▲ 24 | 97¢ | $1.02 | 120 | |
| Above 33.1% | 98% | 75¢ | $1.02 | 183 | ||
| Above 35.0% | 97% | 11¢ | $1.03 | 97.00 | ||
| Above 35.5% | 97% | ▲ 87 | 12¢ | $1.03 | 255 | |
| Above 37.3% | 97% | 25¢ | $1.03 | 195 | ||
| Above 41.9% | 11% | 83¢ | $1.20 | 425 | ||
| Above 42.4% | 11% | ▲ 16 | 19¢ | $5.26 | 58.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Anthropic, Claude, Vercel
Search ›-
Anthropic’s Claude AI model accessed Georgia voter data in USAnthropic sued for allegedly using 274 Elvis songs to train AI models Anthropic’s Claude model accessed voter data in the US state of Georgia, the AI company has confirmed, in the latest example of unauthorised behaviour by the technology… -
Claude AI accessed publicly available Georgia voter data, Anthropic confirmsAnthropic's Claude AI model accessed publicly available voter data through Georgia's data hub, state officials and the company confirmed to FOX Business on Sunday. The Georgia Secretary of State's office stressed that the bot did not… -
Anthropic bans scientists after detecting covert bioweapon research on ClaudeThey attempted to create a new version of a dangerous virus Anthropic has just revealed a number of case studies where they detected concerning uses of Claude, and one involved a group of international scientists that were seemingly using… -
Claude Duet is here: Anthropic's 24/7 AI agent, testedAnthropic just launched Claude Duet, a 24/7 personal agent that works on its own computer in the cloud and comes to you with what needs your attention. Host Ejaaz Ahamadeen tests it for 48 hours, compares it to Meta Muse, OpenAI Dots and… -
Claude Code’s top enterprise users outspend other Claude users 20 to 1, Anthropic’s IPO filing saysBlueconic sets this cookie as a unique identifier for the BlueConic profile. YouTube sets this cookie to manage feature rollout and experimentation. It helps Google control which new features or interface changes are shown to users as part… -
Anthropic AI bot accessed public Georgia voter data, officials sayOctober 26, 2026 / 10:32 AM EDT / CBS Atlanta An artificial intelligence bot from Anthropic accessed publicly available voter statistics through Georgia's data hub but did not enter the state's voter registration system, according to the… -
Anthropic officially files for its public debutAfter weeks of leaked S-1s, Anthropic finally filed for an initial public offering on Monday, setting the stage for one of the most closely watched public debuts in modern U.S. history. Anthropic, which plans to list under the ticker… -
Anthropic’s Claude AI Bypassed a Paywall to Access Georgia Vote Count Data🇺🇸 Anthropic’s AI just went shopping for Georgia election data… and decided the checkout was optional. — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) October 26, 2026 The data was publicly available aggregate voter counts. Anthropic released its statement… -
Artizent Achieves Select Partner Tier in Anthropic’s Claude Partner Network Services TrackArtizent, a global enterprise engineering company, announced that it has achieved the Select partner tier in the Claude Partner Network Services Track. CloudOffix to Lead IEDC Learning Lab on AI-Ready Infrastructure for Economic… -
New report confirms Anthropic’s Claude bypassed a paywall to access Georgia vote countsAI giants have a growing autonomy problem on their hands. A new Axios report has revealed that Anthropic’s Claude recently accessed publicly available Georgia vote count without human authorization, sparking fresh concerns about AI… -
Anthropic's Claude AI Bypassed Paywall To Access US Voter Data Without Permission: What Happened?Anthropic’s artificial intelligence model Claude accessed election-related data from the US state of Georgia without human authorisation after bypassing a payment restriction, raising fresh questions about how AI systems interact with… -
Anthropic's Claude AI bypasses paywall to access Georgia vote count data without promptGet Latest News Updates From Mathrubhumi English. Know the breaking news in India, Kerala and around the world. Mathrubhumi covers all breaking news from India, Kerala News, Political News Kerala, India and World, Entertainment News…
Related markets
All ai ›Which company has the best AI model end of October?
85%Google
- Google85%▲ 1
- Anthropic9%▼ 4
- OpenAI1%
18 more
- Meta1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
Nov 13, 2026even chance by
- October 21<1%▼ 12
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 24<1%▼ 1
2 more
- October 3138%▼ 2
- December 3196%▲ 2
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
61%No release by October 31
- No release by October 3161%▼ 2
- October 2724%▲ 6
- October 295%▼ 3
11 more
- October 285%▲ 1
- October 302%▼ 2
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 311%▲ 1
- October 26<1%▼ 4
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 23<1%▼ 4
- October 24<1%
- October 25<1%▼ 1
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.25Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.25T.
- Reaches $1.5T96%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1,410median
1,3801,480
Median 1,410Middle half 1,405 – 1,415
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions