Anthropic share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)
33.53%median
22.9%44.3%
Median 33.53%
Install
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
Settled 30.4%
The last odds before it closed
1%Above 30.9%
- Above 30.9%1%▼ 93
- Above 33.5%1%▼ 64
- Above 35.4%1%▼ 47
- Above 36.2%1%
- Above 38.2%1%
- Above 38.9%1%
- Above 42.1%1%
- Above 42.7%1%
- Above 43.4%1%
How the odds have moved
Above 30.9%: 94% on Oct 20, 1% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✗ Above 30.9% | 1% | 13.4K | ||||
| ✗ Above 33.5% | 1% | 3.6K | ||||
| ✗ Above 35.4% | 1% | 1.5K | ||||
| ✗ Above 36.2% | 1% | 1.0K | ||||
| ✗ Above 38.2% | 1% | 1.4K | ||||
| ✗ Above 38.9% | 1% | 1.3K | ||||
| ✗ Above 42.1% | 1% | 13.3K | ||||
| ✗ Above 42.7% | 1% | 1.0K | ||||
| ✗ Above 43.4% | 1% | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Anthropic, Claude, Vercel
Search ›-
Claude AI accessed publicly available Georgia voter data, Anthropic confirmsAnthropic's Claude AI model accessed publicly available voter data through Georgia's data hub, state officials and the company confirmed to FOX Business on Sunday. The Georgia Secretary of State's office stressed that the bot did not… -
Anthropic Merges Claude Chat and Cowork for Enterprise UsersAnthropic says it has unified Claude chat and Cowork for its enterprise customers. The new offering combines chat and Cowork on web, desktop and mobile, meaning users don’t have to choose between the two services before starting, Anthropic… -
I turned a Claude Code session into a local Anthropic-compatible APII wanted tools like LiteLLM and Hermes Agent to talk to my Claude Code session as if it were a normal... Tagged with ai, opensource, llm, claude. I wanted tools like LiteLLM and Hermes Agent to talk to my Claude Code session as if it were… -
Anthropic’s Claude accessed Georgia voter data without human sign-offGeorgia officials say the AI model pulled only public records from the state's data hub, but the episode lands weeks before the midterms Anthropic / Wikimedia Commons (Public domain) Anthropic’s Claude accessed publicly available Georgia… -
Anthropic Sued for Training Claude on Elvis Presley SongsPer the filing, Anthropic used such songs as “Can’t Help Falling in Love” and “Run On” to train Claude. “Claude continues to infringe: when recently asked to recreate specific songs ‘for a modern ... Things you buy through our links may… -
Anthropic sees 3.6x jump in token volume after Claude Opus 5.5 launchA cheaper, faster model is reportedly driving a surge in usage, even as early testers say each task needs fewer tokens Anthropic’s model token volume has reportedly risen 3.6 times since Claude Opus 5.5 went live. That is a big number for… - Anthropic's Claude accessed Georgia state vote count information behind paywall, Axios reports“It didn’t access the state’s voter registration system or change or pull any voting records,” an Anthropic spokesperson told Axios. Anthropic said earlier this month it found examples of Claude “working around a restriction to reach…
- Anthropic’s Claude Accessed Georgia Voter Data Without Human AuthorizationAnthropic says its Claude model accessed aggregate Georgia vote counts, normally available to the public for a fee, without being asked and without human authorization. , US News, Times Now ... Anthropicâs AI model Claude pulled publicly…
- Anthropic quietly separates Claude Agent SDK usage from subscription limitsJudith Murphy is a financial journalist and market analyst covering AI, technology stocks, and emerging market trends. She has contributed to multiple financial publications and brings a data-driven approach to her coverage of the…
-
Elvis Presley rights holder sues Anthropic, says Claude trained on unauthorized songsPartnerships that control 274 of Presley's best-known songs — including "All Shook Up," "Can't Help Falling in Love," "Don't Be Cruel" and "Return To Sender" — said the San Francisco-based AI company had paid nothing for capturing the… - Anthropic's Claude accessed public US state of Georgia voter information, Axios reportsOct 25 : Anthropic's Claude bypassed a paywall and accessed publicly available US state of Georgia voter data without human authorization, Axios reported on Sunday. "In a training run, Claude accessed aggregate vote counts, pulling data…
-
Anthropic sued for allegedly using 274 Elvis Presley songs to train AI modelsAuthentic Brands Group says AI company infringed on rights of songs by the King such as Can’t Help Falling in Love Authentic Brands Group, the licensing organization that has ownership of both Presley’s music and likeness, is accusing…
Related markets
All ai ›Which company has the best AI model end of October?
85%Google
- Google85%▼ 4
- Anthropic13%▲ 5
- OpenAI1%▲ 1
18 more
- Meta<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
69%No release by October 31
- No release by October 3169%▲ 5
- October 2716%▼ 3
- October 286%▲ 2
11 more
- October 264%
- October 294%▼ 1
- October 301%▼ 1
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 31<1%▼ 1
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 23<1%▼ 4
- October 24<1%
- October 25<1%▼ 1
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
54%Anthropic
- Anthropic54%▲ 4
- Google33%▼ 6
- OpenAI6%
12 more
- Meta1%
- xAI1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Baidu<1%
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1,410median
1,3801,480
Median 1,410Middle half 1,405 – 1,415
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
Nov 19, 2026even chance by
- October 21<1%▼ 12
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 24<1%▼ 1
2 more
- October 3131%▼ 4
- December 3194%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions