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Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?
The odds
5%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 5% on Oct 20, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 119.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alberta, Canada
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Canada won’t see Alberta seceding anytime soon. But what to do with the people who wanted to leave?In the end, it wasn’t even close. Alberta’s preliminary referendum results were a definitive rejection of the idea that the province would be better off as an independent country. By a 3-to-1 margin, the province chose to remain in Canada… -
Path of Canada's Alberta Toward Autonomy Could Take Decades - ResidentWASHINGTON (Sputnik) - The Canadian province of Alberta needs to move toward greater autonomy, but the process could take decades and likely entail economic challenges, Priest Dmitriy Grigoriev, rector of the Russian All Saints Orthodox… - Alberta delivers decisive vote to stay in CanadaSeparatist leaders vow to keep fighting after voters reject bid to hold binding referendum on independence Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney at a unity rally on Oct. 16 in Edmonton, Alberta. | AFP via Getty Images OTTAWA — Alberta voters…
- Conrad Black: Alberta referendum should spur Canada to do betterIt was the best result we could have hoped for. Now's the time to put separatism behind us and realize our potential as a nation A number of American commentators, ignorant of Canadian politics, were watching the referendum with dreams of…
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Video: LIVE: Canada PM Mark Carney speaks after Alberta voted to stay in CanadaAbout LiveTube Ltd. 🌍 🚀 Welcome to LiveTube! We believe in the power of real-time content. Our platform allows users to broadcast their stories to the world, unfiltered and in real-time. We're passionate about providing a space where… -
Forever Canadian Plans Permanent Office After Alberta ReferendumHome / News / Forever Canadian Plans Permanent Office After Alberta Referendum Forever Canadian will establish a permanent Edmonton office after Alberta’s October 19 referendum, Thomas Lukaszuk says, keeping the campaign organization ready… -
Trump started a trade war with Canada. GOP candidates became casualties.Breaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. High tariffs on… -
Alberta Rejects Move Toward Independence From Canada in Victory for CarneyIf you decline, your information won’t be tracked when you visit this website. A single cookie will be used in your browser to remember your preference. With more than 1.5 million votes counted, 76% supported remaining in Canada, while… -
Video: Carney hails Alberta's vote to remain as 'great result for Canada'About LiveTube Ltd. 🌍 🚀 Welcome to LiveTube! We believe in the power of real-time content. Our platform allows users to broadcast their stories to the world, unfiltered and in real-time. We're passionate about providing a space where… -
Canada's Alberta rejects separation in referendum, but 'road to healing will be a long one'Alberta voters have decided against starting the process toward a binding referendum on separation from Canada, but their support for other questions on the Oct. 19 ballot could leave the province with deep divisions that need to be… -
US ambassador softens accusations of Canadian interference in midtermsIn an interview, Ambassador Pete Hoekstra said the U.S. had not determined whether there had, in fact, been any interference by Canadian officials. Pete Hoekstra, then-candidate for U.S. ambassador to Canada, takes his seat for a Senate…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions