Texas Senate winner? (2026)
66%James Talarico
- James Talarico66%▲ 2
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
Install
Alaska Senate election margin of victory (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
27%Mary Peltola, 3-6%
- Mary Peltola, 3-6%27%▲ 2
- Mary Peltola, 0-3%24%▲ 1
- Mary Peltola, 6-9%15%▼ 2
- Dan Sullivan, 0-3%15%▼ 3
- Dan Sullivan, 3-6%6%▲ 1
- Mary Peltola, 9-12%5%▼ 1
- Dan Sullivan, 6-9%3%▲ 1
- Mary Peltola, ≥12%3%
- Dan Sullivan, 9-12%1%
- Dan Sullivan, ≥12%1%
How the odds have moved
Mary Peltola, 3-6%: 21% on Oct 20, 27% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Peltola, 3-6% | 27% | ▲ 2 | 25¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 13.5K |
| Mary Peltola, 0-3% | 24% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 10.2K |
| Mary Peltola, 6-9% | 15% | ▼ 2 | 13¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 4.6K |
| Dan Sullivan, 0-3% | 15% | ▼ 3 | 13¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 18.3K |
| Dan Sullivan, 3-6% | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 3.4K |
| Mary Peltola, 9-12% | 5% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.7K |
| Dan Sullivan, 6-9% | 3% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | 6.5K | |
| Mary Peltola, ≥12% | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.9K | |
| Dan Sullivan, 9-12% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.9K | ||
| Dan Sullivan, ≥12% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alaska Senate
Search ›-
DOJ challenges Alaska Senate ballot over voter confusion concernsFox News contributor Jonathan Turley joins 'America Reports' to discuss the Justice Department's lawsuit over potential voter confusion in Alaska's Senate race. DOJ challenges Alaska Senate ballot over voter confusion concerns Fox News… -
Blanche DEFENDS DOJ's Alaska Senate election lawsuitU.S. Attorney General Todd Blanche defends the Justice Department's preemptive lawsuit involving Alaska's U.S. Senate race, arguing the legal action is intended to prevent voter confusion rather than stop ballots from being cast. Blanche… -
Iowa gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand weighs in on Alaska Senate ballot controversyDemocratic gubernatorial nominee Rob Sand discusses the dispute involving two Alaska Senate candidates who share the name Dan Sullivan during an exclusive interview with Fox News. Iowa gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand weighs in on Alaska… -
Blanche defends controversial lawsuit in Alaska Senate race over Dan Sullivan name confusionCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Blanche defends… -
Blanche gets combative over DOJ lawsuit alleging potential confusion in Alaska Senate raceCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Blanche gets… -
Blanche refuses to say if Trump told DOJ to file Alaska Senate race lawsuitCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Blanche on Alaska… -
Alaska Senate: Peltola seeks quick dismissal of DOJ election lawsuit suit before midtermThe campaign of Alaska Senate Democratic nominee Mary Peltola asked a federal judge to fast-track a Trump administration lawsuit that could block certification of that election, so the judge can dismiss the suit before Election Day. A… -
Trump Attacks Murkowski As Alaska Senate Fight Escalates: ‘Worst Senator’Oct 25, 2026 at 07:59 AM EDT Oct 25, 2026 at 08:09 AM EDT President Donald Trump has escalated his criticism of Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski as a high-stakes Alaska Senate race intensifies, branding the longtime senator one of the… -
Trump claims midterm momentum in tarmac gaggle, attacks Dem rivals in Michigan and Alaska Senate racesSpeaking before departing for Michigan, President Donald Trump argued his campaign blitz has "turned the whole thing around," for the GOP. Trump claims midterm momentum in tarmac gaggle, attacks Dem rivals in Michigan and Alaska Senate… -
AG Todd Blanche says DOJ is "doing our own research under the law" with Alaska Senate challengeOctober 25, 2026 / 1:38 PM EDT / CBS News Washington — Attorney General Todd Blanche said Sunday that the Justice Department was looking to "put guardrails in place" with its move to prevent the Alaska Senate election from being certified… -
Democrats ask judge to dismiss Trump administration’s challenge to Alaska Senate raceAttorneys for Alaska’s Democratic Senate candidate Mary Peltola and Senate Democrats filed a motion Friday urging a federal judge to drop the Trump administration’s lawsuit that seeks to block the results of the upcoming election if… -
Blanche defends Trump-ordered lawsuit over Alaska Senate election certificationThe lawsuit, filed last week, cites what it argues is likely voter confusion over the name Daniel J. Sullivan, a retired teacher also on the ballot. The DOJ said confusion over the two Sullivans could help former Alaska Democratic Rep…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions