Adamawa State Governor winner? (2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Feb 6, 2028 · $6 traded · $6 at stake · prices read 61 min ago

The odds

44%APC

APC44%
ADC19%
NDC16%
PDP12%▼ 1
LP3%
NNPP3%

How the odds have moved

APC: 46% on Oct 19, 44% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
APC	44%		39¢	49¢	$2.04
ADC	19%		14¢	24¢	$4.17
NDC	16%		11¢	21¢	$4.76
PDP	12%	▼ 1	7¢	16¢	$6.25	50.00
LP	3%		1¢	5¢	$20.00
NNPP	3%		1¢	5¢	$20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Adamawa State Governor

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Adamawa APC guber candidate welcomes 21 defecting LG chairmen@Thecitizenng · 3 days agoGaladima described the development as a significant boost to the party’s grassroots presence ahead of the 2027 general elections. In a statement issued on Thursday by his media aide, Adamu Sambo, the APC candidate said the decision…
Adamawa APC gov candidate welcomes 21 defecting LG chairmenPunch Newspapers · 4 days agoThe All Progressives Congress governorship candidate in Adamawa State, Ahmed Galadima, has welcomed the defection of the state’s 21 local government chairmen and 226 councillors from the Peoples Democratic Party to the APC. Galadima…
Dr Duhu Defends Adamawa APC Defection, Dismisses Claims of ‘Mere Deception’TG News · 5 days agoIn a rejoinder dated October 21, 2026, Duhu described the defection as voluntary, properly documented and motivated by the desire of the local government officials to align with the developmental agenda of Adamawa State Governor, Ahmadu…
Fintiri Tasks Council Chairmen on Anti-Corruption, Procurement FraudLEADERSHIP Newspapers · 5 days agoAdamawa State Governor, Ahmadu Umaru Fintiri, has lamented that corruption id one of the major obstacles to effective public service delivery and sustainable development. The governor stated this while declaring open a capacity-building…
Gov Fintiri Urges Journalists To Support Fight Against InsecurityLEADERSHIP Newspapers · 5 days agoAdamawa State Governor, Ahmadu Umaru Fintiri, has urged journalists in the state to support security agencies in tackling insecurity rather than promoting the activities of criminal elements. The governor gave the charge on Tuesday when…
Elder Statesmen Advocate Reforms for National DevelopmentVoice of Nigeria · 5 days agoThe call featured at the fifth National Conference of the Forum of Former Deputy Governors of Nigeria (FFDGN), ongoing in Abuja themed, “Rethinking Nation-Building for Sustainable Development: Bridging the Leadership/Citizenship…
Fintiri Promises Free Medical Outreaches For Insurgency-Affected CommunitiesLEADERSHIP Newspapers · 5 days agoAdamawa State Governor, Ahmadu Umaru Fintiri, has pledged continued government support for free medical and surgical outreaches across the state, particularly in communities affected by insurgency in the Northern Senatorial District The…
Gov. Fintiri Brokers Deal to Reopen Song MarketThe NewsPointer · 5 days agoDriving the News, Leading the Nation. By Our Correspondent, Yola Song Market is set to resume normal operations following an agreement brokered by Adamawa State Governor, Ahmadu Umaru Fintiri, between Fulani herders and the Song Local…
Afenifere Leader Reuben Fasoranti Dies at 100, Ondo Governor MournsTG News · 5 days agoPa Reuben Famuyide Fasoranti, the revered national leader of the pan-Yoruba socio-political organisation, Afenifere, has died at the age of 100. Ondo State Governor, Lucky Aiyedatiwa, announced his death in a statement personally issued on…
Gov Uba Sani Visits Freed Zakka Family, Promises House, Medical Care, thanks Tinubu, NSA Ribadu, Security Agencies For RescueTG News · 6 days agoKaduna State Governor, Senator Uba Sani, has visited Malam Ahmed Abubakar Zakka, his wife Nafisah, and their daughter Fatima, who recently regained freedom from their abductors. The family is currently being accommodated at the Kaduna…
Elected Chairmen, Councillors Defect to APC in AdamawaPolitics Nigeria · 6 days agoMost of the defectors submitted resignation letters addressed to their respective ward chairmen, citing personal reasons and consultations with their families, political associates and other stakeholders as factors behind their decisions…
Fintiri Brokers Peace Between Fulani Herders, Song LG CouncilThe Trumpet Newspaper Nigeria · 8 days agoAdamawa State Governor Ahmadu Fintiri has brokered a peace agreement between Fulani herders and the management of Song Local Government Council following a misunderstanding that led to a boycott of Song market. The peace meeting, convened…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onIndependent National Electoral Commission

Trading closesFeb 6, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$6 (50 contracts)

This week$6

At stake$6

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the APC candidate wins the 2027 Adamawa State governorship election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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