30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
4.91%median
1.74%8.24%
Median 4.91%Middle half 2.82% – 5.91%
Install
How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
The odds
4.92%median
4.91%5.22%
Median 4.92%
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.93% on Oct 20, 4.92% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.93% or above | 72% | 72¢ | $1.39 | 991 | ||
| 4.94% or above | 22% | 23¢ | $4.35 | 988 | ||
| 4.95% or above | 22% | 17¢ | $5.88 | 1.3K | ||
| 4.96% or above | 22% | 16¢ | $6.25 | 448 | ||
| 4.97% or above | 21% | 14¢ | $7.14 | 400 | ||
| 4.98% or above | 21% | 13¢ | $7.69 | 435 | ||
| 4.99% or above | 20% | 11¢ | $9.09 | 446 | ||
| 5% or above | 5% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | $11.11 | 978 | |
| 5.01% or above | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 2.3K | |
| 5.02% or above | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 966 | ||
| 5.03% or above | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.6K | ||
| 5.04% or above | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 488 | ||
| 5.05% or above | 3% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 477 | ||
| 5.06% or above | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 400 | ||
| 5.07% or above | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 550 | ||
| 5.08% or above | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 632 | ||
| 5.09% or above | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 200 | ||
| 5.1% or above | 2% | ▲ 2 | 25¢ | $4.00 | 400 | |
| 5.11% or above | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 200 | ||
| 5.12% or above | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 200 | ||
| 5.16% or above | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 250 | ||
| 5.17% or above | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 200 | ||
| 5.18% or above | 1% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 221 | ||
| 5.19% or above | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 200 | ||
| 5.2% or above | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 331 | ||
| 5.21% or above | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.4K | ||
| 5.22% or above | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 727 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Treasury
Search ›-
Treasury chief lauds Türkiye's achievements in fiscal transparencyTürkiye has taken "major steps forward" in fiscal transparency in the last decade, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said in a recent assessment, with a top Turkish economy official lauding the improvement and tying it to institutional… -
Treasury eyes Sh42bn toll deals for Nairobi, Mombasa bypassesThe Southern Bypass Toll Station of the Nairobi Expressway on January 2, 2024. The National Treasury eyes Sh42.26 billion toll deals for two major bypass roads in Nairobi and Mombasa under concession terms. Disclosures show that the… -
SRD grant a “material risk” to government, declares TreasuryHome » Lifestyle » SASSA » SRD grant a “material risk” to government, declares Treasury Extending the grant until 31 March 2027 doesn’t reveal Treasury’s entire plan. On Wednesday, Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana announced that the… -
Crypto Treasury Management: Bitcoin Lending's Next PhaseOn October 23, 2026, Silicon Valley Bank / First Citizens Innovation published a report that marks a structural shift in crypto treasury management: Bitcoin-backed lending has matured into a collateralized, transparent institutional… -
District Treasury Bandipora concludes Four-Day JKIFMS Training ProgBandipora :District Treasury Bandipora Saturday concluded a four-day training programme on the implementation of the JKIFMS e-Bill, e-Voucher, e-Receipt and e-A Bandipora :District Treasury Bandipora Saturday concluded a four-day training… -
iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF $GOVT Stock: Gibbs Wealth Management Grows HoldingsGibbs Wealth Management raised its stake in iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (BATS:GOVT – Free Report) by 12.8% during the 3rd quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)… -
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF $SGOV Shares Acquired by Gibbs Wealth ManagementPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 25th, 2026 Shares of NYSE:SGOV opened at $100.66 on Friday. iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF has a 52-week low of $100.27 and a 52-week high of $100.73. The stock’s 50-day simple moving average is… -
US Treasury moves to curb AI, chip and biotech deals in China and RussiaTreasury’s draft outbound investment rule adds biotech, Russia and Iran to US curbs on tech deals, and swaps ‘AI’ for ‘super intelligence’. Comments close on 7 December. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent at a White House press briefing in… - iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF $GOVT Shares Bought by Bernardo Wealth Planning LLCBernardo Wealth Planning LLC boosted its position in iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (BATS:GOVT – Free Report) by 112.0% during the third quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission…
-
Gibbs Wealth Management Purchases 98,474 Shares of SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF $SPTLGibbs Wealth Management increased its position in shares of SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF (NYSEARCA:SPTL – Free Report) by 15.7% during the third quarter, according to its most recent filing with the Securities & Exchange… - 58,280 iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF $SGOV Shares Purchased by Evergreen Capital Management LLCEvergreen Capital Management LLC grew its holdings in shares of iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE:SGOV – Free Report) by 11.5% during the third quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities &…
-
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF $SHY Shares Newly Purchased by Evergreen Capital Management LLCEvergreen Capital Management LLC acquired a new position in iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:SHY – Free Report) during the third quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The fund…
Related markets
All rates & bonds ›How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
17%Below 4.00%
3.9%4.55%
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.11%median
4.95%5.4%
Median 5.11%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
23%5.4%
5.3%6.3%
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
84%Below 5.25%
5.2%5.46%
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?
69%Below 4.65%
4.6%4.92%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions