Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
258,919median
230,000285,000
Median 258,919Middle half 255,541 – 262,464
Install
US Payroll Employment (Oct 2026)
The odds
48%Above 10,000%
0K120K
How the odds have moved
Above 10,000%: 48% on Oct 20, 48% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 10,000% | 48% | $2.07 | ||||
| Above 20,000% | 48% | $2.07 | 125 | |||
| Above 30,000% | 48% | $2.07 | 16.3K | |||
| Above 40,000% | 48% | $2.07 | 432 | |||
| Above 50,000% | 48% | $2.07 | 125 | |||
| Above 60,000% | 48% | $2.07 | 125 | |||
| Above 70,000% | 48% | $2.07 | 429 | |||
| Above 80,000% | 45% | $2.22 | 25.00 | |||
| Above 90,000% | 40% | $2.50 | 727 | |||
| Above 100,000% | 31% | $3.23 | 112 | |||
| Above 110,000% | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.