Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$283,750median
$175,000$375,000
Median $283,750Middle half $262,500 – $305,729
Install
Maine lobster landings in 2026
The odds
74.2median
5095
Median 74.2Middle half 68.2 – 80.6
How the odds have moved
Median: 73.4 on Oct 20, 74.2 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 55 million pounds | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 9.0K | |
| Above 60 million pounds | 90% | 89¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 1.4K | |
| Above 65 million pounds | 86% | 85¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 2.7K | |
| Above 70 million pounds | 69% | 68¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 12.5K | |
| Above 75 million pounds | 47% | 46¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 3.8K | |
| Above 80 million pounds | 27% | ▲ 1 | 26¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 11.3K |
| Above 85 million pounds | 14% | 14¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 31.7K | |
| Above 90 million pounds | 11% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 2.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Maine
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Manchin, Ocasio-Cortez are closers in Maine Senate raceNORWAY, Maine – Susan Collins and Joe Manchin arrived right on time – Maine’s Republican senator and West Virginia’s last Democratic senator, in matching red fleece, making a cheerful Wednesday stop a New Balance factory. Collins… -
Susan Collins Touts Canada Tariff Exemptions in Tight Maine Senate RaceOct 23, 2026 at 03:21 PM EDT Republican Senator Susan Collins announced Friday that U.S. tariffs will exempt nine categories of Canadian imports used by Maine agricultural businesses after she pressed the Trump administration for relief… -
Embattled Susan Collins announces exemptions for Maine from Trump Canada tariffsRepublican facing tough re-election battle in state where Trump’s trade war with neighbor has stirred outrage Susan Collins, the embattled Republican senator for Maine, announced that several industries crucial to her state would be… -
Trump lifts 50% tariffs on some Canadian goods in boon to Maine Sen. Susan CollinsOctober 23, 2026 / 5:32 PM EDT / CBS News President Trump on Friday slashed tariffs on a handful of Canadian products that are used widely by Maine's agricultural industry, a move cheered by Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who is facing a… -
Trump's tariffs loom over Maine Senate raceCNBC Trump's tariffs loom over Maine Senate race -
U.S. dropping some Canada tariffs, Susan Collins says as trade war looms over Maine Senate raceSen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, announced today that nine categories of products crucial for Maineâs agricultural industries, including blueberry, potato, apple, and seaweed producers, will be exempted from U.S. tariffs on Canada. CNBC's… -
AOC campaigns for Troy Jackson in Maine; Tafoya makes strides in MinnesotaNew York progressive Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is campaigning for Maine Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson. Meanwhile, the Senate race in typically blue Minnesota is tightening. CBS News' Taurean Small reports. AOC supports… -
AOC campaigns for Troy Jackson in Maine and slams Susan CollinsCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. AOC campaigns for… - Winter is coming. For Maine families, it’s never been more expensive.Behind the steering wheel of his silver pickup, Scott Bates fills in the blanks with numbers. It’s 8:51 a.m., and at $4.85 a gallon, heating oil is 11 cents cheaper than the night before. He could buy 1,000 gallons and sell each for around…
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Maine Senate race tied as poll shows Collins, Jackson in dead heatFox News poll reveals a statistically tied race for the Maine Senate seat between Republican Susan Collins and Democrat challenger Troy Jackson. Former Clinton advisor Doug Schoen discusses the implications for both parties. Maine Senate… -
Fox News Poll: Nail-biter in Maine Senate raceSen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, says she was struck by her opponent Troy Jackson’s ‘shut up’ comment on ‘Hannity.’ Maine voters are in a negative mood this election season. Only 12% say their family is better off financially compared to two… -
DAVID MARCUS: In blue Maine, nobody believes Susan Collins will lose until they see itMaine voters weigh in on Susan Collins' re-election bid against Troy Jackson, revealing why the longtime Republican senator's personal connections could prove decisive. There are two elements of the Senate race in Maine that truly stand…
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All jobs ›US retail jobs added this holiday season (September–December 2026)
563,415median
250,000650,000
Median 563,415
Unemployment in October (Oct 2026)
4.15%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.15%Middle half 4.08% – 4.23%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
15%U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k15%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k11%▲ 8
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above6%
8 more
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k1%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%▼ 21
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above1%▼ 4
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
11%5.0%
4.5%13%
UK retail sales in October (October 2026)
50%Above 2.0%
-2%3%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions