Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
$83,099median
$70,000$94,000
Median $83,099Middle half $82,437 – $83,762
Install
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by next year?
The last odds before it closed
13%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 12% on Oct 20, 13% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 3 AM ET1% → 13%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 13% | 1¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 237 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Bitcoin
Search ›-
Bitcoin's Next Move: Here's What to WatchCrypto markets rebounded on Tuesday with a near 2% jump across the board, rising to $2.8 trillion total market capitalization, and Bitcoin once again testing key levels. For traders and investors plotting their next moves, here’s what to… -
Bitcoin or silver: Which investment fits your goals?Investors looking beyond traditional stocks and bonds often compare silver and Bitcoin as alternative investments. While both are seen as ways to diversify a portfolio and hedge against economic uncertainty, they operate very differently… -
The Coinbase allegations expose Bitcoin's corporate governance gapCorporate adoption of bitcoin will stall as long as companies can't show who controls the money, who approves its movement, or whether it's still there, argues Onramp CEO Michael Tanguma. BlockTower Capital founder Ari Paul publicly… -
BlackRock Files for 'Buffer' Bitcoin ETF as IBIT Draws $665M in a DayBlackRock has filed to launch a "buffer" Bitcoin ETF that would cap investors' gains in exchange for limiting their losses, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday. The iShares Bitcoin Managed Protection… -
JPMorgan Puts a Number on Bitcoin for the First Time: 10% a Year, With a Big CaveatOct 20, 2026Oct 20, 2026 Bitcoin just earned a spot in one of Wall Street’s most closely watched return forecasts, and it landed at the top of the table. J.P. Morgan Asset Management projected a 10% compound annual return for Bitcoin over… -
Bitcoin ETFs just saw their biggest day in a month thanks entirely to BlackRockU.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds attracted $526.6 million on Monday, the largest daily net inflow in nearly a month, driven entirely by BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT). IBIT pulled in $665.2 million, its biggest daily… -
Mt. Gox Pushes Repayment Deadline to 2027 With $2.8B in Bitcoin Still to DistributeMt. Gox's rehabilitation trustee has pushed back the deadline for repaying creditors of the defunct crypto exchange by another year, to October 31, 2027, according to a notice dated Friday. Trustee Nobuaki Kobayashi said the base, early… -
Strategy Buys $22M in Bitcoin, Buys Back $193M of STRCStrategy bought 267 BTC for $22.1 million last week and repurchased $193.1 million of its STRC preferred stock, the company said on Monday. The Bitcoin treasury firm paid an average of $82,900 per coin, including fees, between October 12… -
Strive Buys $335 Million in Bitcoin After Investors Pour In $369 MillionThe average price was about $82,803 per coin, meaning the stash was worth about $335 million, and the purchase lifts its holdings to 36,818 BTC, up from 32,773 a week earlier. That’s a total just north of $3 billion worth of Bitcoin at… -
Abandoned Bitcoin? Wallet Targeted by Noah Doe Lawsuit Moves $33 MillionAnother long-sleeping Bitcoin whale has stirred, and this one is named in a lawsuit claiming its coins were abandoned. An address beginning with "13Coop" that had never sent a single coin since it was first funded on Sept. 11, 2013, moved… -
Bitcoin Tests Key Support as Oil and AI Fears Squeeze MarketsBitcoin continues to defy seasonal ‘Uptober” expectations, as macroeconomic factors weigh heavily on the digital asset. Bitcoin is hovering around $82,000 on Monday, up about 1% on the day, after tagging $83,000 early and handing some of… -
BlackRock seeks to shield bitcoin (BTC) investors from losses after Calamos fund weathers 50% crashWhile bitcoin BTC$82,936.07 lost more than half its value in the past year's selloff, investors in one Calamos Investments’ fund were spared much of the pain. The Naperville, Illinois-based firm's Bitcoin Structured Alt Protection ETF –…
Related markets
All bitcoin ›What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
$91,786high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $91,786.
- Reaches $90,00057%
- Reaches $95,00037%
- Falls to $70,00033%
- Falls to $65,00022%
Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$86,411high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $86,411.
- Reaches $82,50091%
- Reaches $85,00068%
- Falls to $80,00048%
- Falls to $77,50023%
Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000
What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?
$85,152high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $85,152.
- Reaches $84,00077%
- Reaches $86,00031%
- Falls to $80,00025%
- Falls to $78,0009%
Already reached: ↓ 82,000
Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?
$83,140median
$70,000$94,000
Median $83,140Middle half $82,140 – $84,300
Bitcoin price on October 21?
$83,109median
$70,000$92,000
Median $83,109Middle half $82,452 – $83,765
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.