Bitcoin price on October 21?

Polymarket Crypto › Bitcoin Closes Wed 12:00 PM ET · $9.2K today · $15.5K traded · $9.9K at stake · prices read 13 min ago

The odds

$70,000$92,000
Median $82,058Middle half $80,704 – $83,412Above today's price 51%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
<72,000 <1% 1¢ $1.2K
72,000-74,000 <1% ▼ 1 0¢ 1¢ $2.4K
74,000-76,000 <1% ▼ 2 0¢ 1¢ $1.2K
76,000-78,000 1% ▼ 8 1¢ 1¢ $71.43 $4.8K
78,000-80,000 10% ▼ 11 9¢ 11¢ $9.09 $3.2K
80,000-82,000 37% ▲ 7 37¢ 39¢ $2.56 $122
82,000-84,000 37% ▲ 14 37¢ 39¢ $2.56 $855
84,000-86,000 10% 10¢ 11¢ $9.09 $770
86,000-88,000 1% ▼ 2 1¢ 1¢ $71.43 $922
88,000-90,000 1% ▼ 1 0¢ 3¢ $37.04 $78
>90,000 1% 1¢ 2¢ $55.56 $8

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Bitcoin

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What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

$85,491high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $85,491 and as low as $78,708.

  • Reaches $82,50092%
  • Reaches $85,00056%
  • Falls to $80,00066%
  • Falls to $77,50036%

Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.